In: Statistics and Probability
In a survey of 1,000 people, 420 are opposed to the tax increase. Construct a 95 percent confidence interval for the proportion of those people opposed to the tax increase.
Solution :
n = 1,000
x = 225
= x / n = 420 / 1,000 = 0.420
1 - = 1 - 0.420 = 0.580
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.960 * (((0.420 * 0.580) /1,000)
= 0.030
A 95 % confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.420 - 0.030< p < 0.420 + 0.030
0.390 < p < 0.450