In: Finance
You are considering making a movie. The movie is expected to cost $10.1million up front and take a year to produce. After that, it is expected to make $4.1 million in the year it is released and $1.9 million for the following four years. What is the payback period of this investment? If you require a payback period of two years, will you make the movie? Does the movie have positive NPV if the cost of capital is 10.4%?
| Movie | ||
| Year | Cash flow stream | Cumulative cash flow |
| 0 | -10.1 | -10.1 |
| 1 | 0 | -10.1 |
| 2 | 4.1 | -6 |
| 3 | 1.9 | -4.1 |
| 4 | 1.9 | -2.2 |
| 5 | 1.9 | -0.3 |
| 6 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Payback period is the time by which undiscounted cashflow cover the intial investment outlay |
| this is happening between year 5 and 6 |
| therefore by interpolation payback period = 5 + (0-(-0.3))/(1.6-(-0.3)) |
| 5.16 Years |
which is more than cut off period of 2 years, do not make movie
| Movie | |||||||
| Discount rate | 10.400% | ||||||
| Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Cash flow stream | -10.1 | 0 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Discounting factor | 1.000 | 1.104 | 1.219 | 1.346 | 1.486 | 1.640 | 1.811 |
| Discounted cash flows project | -10.100 | 0.000 | 3.364 | 1.412 | 1.279 | 1.159 | 1.049 |
| NPV = Sum of discounted cash flows | |||||||
| NPV Movie = | -1.84 | ||||||
| Where | |||||||
| Discounting factor = | (1 + discount rate)^(Corresponding period in years) | ||||||
| Discounted Cashflow= | Cash flow stream/discounting factor | ||||||
NPV is negative