In: Finance
You are considering making a movie. The movie is expected to cost $10.1million up front and take a year to produce. After that, it is expected to make $4.1 million in the year it is released and $1.9 million for the following four years. What is the payback period of this investment? If you require a payback period of two years, will you make the movie? Does the movie have positive NPV if the cost of capital is 10.4%?
Movie | ||
Year | Cash flow stream | Cumulative cash flow |
0 | -10.1 | -10.1 |
1 | 0 | -10.1 |
2 | 4.1 | -6 |
3 | 1.9 | -4.1 |
4 | 1.9 | -2.2 |
5 | 1.9 | -0.3 |
6 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
Payback period is the time by which undiscounted cashflow cover the intial investment outlay |
this is happening between year 5 and 6 |
therefore by interpolation payback period = 5 + (0-(-0.3))/(1.6-(-0.3)) |
5.16 Years |
which is more than cut off period of 2 years, do not make movie
Movie | |||||||
Discount rate | 10.400% | ||||||
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Cash flow stream | -10.1 | 0 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Discounting factor | 1.000 | 1.104 | 1.219 | 1.346 | 1.486 | 1.640 | 1.811 |
Discounted cash flows project | -10.100 | 0.000 | 3.364 | 1.412 | 1.279 | 1.159 | 1.049 |
NPV = Sum of discounted cash flows | |||||||
NPV Movie = | -1.84 | ||||||
Where | |||||||
Discounting factor = | (1 + discount rate)^(Corresponding period in years) | ||||||
Discounted Cashflow= | Cash flow stream/discounting factor |
NPV is negative