In: Finance
You are considering making a movie. The movie is expected to cost $10.2 million up front and take a year to produce. After that, it is expected to make $4.3 million in the year it is released and $1.6 million for the following four years. What is the payback period of this investment? If you require a payback period of two years, will you make the movie? Does the movie have positive NPV if the cost of capital is 10.4%?
Movie | ||
Year | Cash flow stream | Cumulative cash flow |
0 | -10.2 | -10.2 |
1 | 0 | -10.2 |
2 | 4.3 | -5.9 |
3 | 1.6 | -4.3 |
4 | 1.6 | -2.7 |
5 | 1.6 | -1.1 |
6 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
Payback period is the time by which undiscounted cashflow cover the intial investment outlay |
this is happening between year 5 and 6 |
therefore by interpolation payback period = 5 + (0-(-1.1))/(0.5-(-1.1)) |
5.69 Years |
Movie | |||||||
Discount rate | 10.400% | ||||||
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Cash flow stream | -10.2 | 0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Discounting factor | 1.000 | 1.104 | 1.219 | 1.346 | 1.486 | 1.640 | 1.811 |
Discounted cash flows project | -10.200 | 0.000 | 3.528 | 1.189 | 1.077 | 0.976 | 0.884 |
NPV = Sum of discounted cash flows | |||||||
NPV Movie = | -2.55 | ||||||
Where | |||||||
Discounting factor = | (1 + discount rate)^(Corresponding period in years) | ||||||
Discounted Cashflow= | Cash flow stream/discounting factor |
No you will not make the movie & -2.55 million