In: Finance
You are considering making a movie. The movie is expected to cost $10.2 million up front and take a year to produce. After that, it is expected to make $4.3 million in the year it is released and $1.6 million for the following four years. What is the payback period of this investment? If you require a payback period of two years, will you make the movie? Does the movie have positive NPV if the cost of capital is 10.4%?
| Movie | ||
| Year | Cash flow stream | Cumulative cash flow |
| 0 | -10.2 | -10.2 |
| 1 | 0 | -10.2 |
| 2 | 4.3 | -5.9 |
| 3 | 1.6 | -4.3 |
| 4 | 1.6 | -2.7 |
| 5 | 1.6 | -1.1 |
| 6 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Payback period is the time by which undiscounted cashflow cover the intial investment outlay |
| this is happening between year 5 and 6 |
| therefore by interpolation payback period = 5 + (0-(-1.1))/(0.5-(-1.1)) |
| 5.69 Years |
| Movie | |||||||
| Discount rate | 10.400% | ||||||
| Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Cash flow stream | -10.2 | 0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Discounting factor | 1.000 | 1.104 | 1.219 | 1.346 | 1.486 | 1.640 | 1.811 |
| Discounted cash flows project | -10.200 | 0.000 | 3.528 | 1.189 | 1.077 | 0.976 | 0.884 |
| NPV = Sum of discounted cash flows | |||||||
| NPV Movie = | -2.55 | ||||||
| Where | |||||||
| Discounting factor = | (1 + discount rate)^(Corresponding period in years) | ||||||
| Discounted Cashflow= | Cash flow stream/discounting factor | ||||||
No you will not make the movie & -2.55 million