In: Statistics and Probability
Use the sample data and confidence level given below to complete parts (a) through (d).
A research institute poll asked respondents if they felt vulnerable to identity theft. In the poll,
n=988 and x=505 who said "yes." Use a 99% confidence level.
a) Find the best point estimate of the population proportion p.
b) Identify the value of the margin of error E.
c) Construct the confidence interval.
< p <
d) Write a statement that correctly interprets the confidence interval.
Here we have given that
n=Total number of person=988
x: number of person who said "Yes"= 505
(A)
we know that the best point estimate of the population proportion P is the sample proportion
Now, we estimate the proportion p as
=sample proportion =
(B)
we want to find the 95% confidence interval for population proportion P
Formula for CI is as follows,
Where,
E=Margin of error =
Now we find Z-critical
C=confidence level=0.95
=level of significance= 1-c=1-0.95=0.05
==1.96 Using excel = NORMSINV(probability = 0.05/2)
Now,
E=Margin of error =
=
= 0.031
The Margin of error value is 0.031
(C)
we get the 95% confidence interval is as follows,
Lower limit= 0.48
Upper limit=0.54
(D)
Conclusion:
Here we can say that we are 95 % confident that the population proportion is lies within that interval.