In: Finance
Island Airlines Inc. needs to replace a short-haul commuter plane on one of its busier routes. Two aircraft are on the market that satisfy the general requirements of the route. One is more expensive than the other but has better fuel efficiency and load-bearing characteristics, which result in better long-term profitability. The useful life of both planes is expected to be about seven years, after which time both are assumed to have no value. Cash flow projections for the two aircraft follow.
Low Cost | High Cost | |
Initial cost | $775,000 | $950,000 |
Cash inflows, years 1 through 7 | 154,000 | 176,275 |
Low Cost | years |
High Cost | years |
Low Cost | % |
High Cost | % |
Low Cost | High Cost | |
NPV | $ | $ |
PI |
Low Cost | High Cost | ||
2% | NPV | $ | $ |
PI | |||
4% | NPV | $ | $ |
PI | |||
6% | NPV | $ | $ |
PI | |||
8% | NPV | $ | $ |
PI | |||
10% | NPV | $ | $ |
PI |
Select the correct graph.
a,b,c or d
The correct graph is .
Would NPV and IRR ever give conflicting results? Why?
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and considered by your instructor.
(a). Payback period for two different capacity planes:
Initial Cost for Low cost plane = $775,000
Initial Cost for High cost plane = $950,000
Year | Cashflow for Low cost planes | Cashflow for High cost planes | Cumulative Cashflows for high cost planes |
1 | $154,000 | $176,275 | $176,275 |
2 | $154,000 | $176,275 | $352,550 |
3 | $154,000 | $176,275 | $528,825 |
4 | $154,000 | $176,275 | $705,100 |
5 | $154,000 | $176,275 | $881,375 |
6 | $154,000 | $176,275 | $1,057,650 |
7 | $154,000 | $176,275 | $1,233,925 |
To Calculate Payback Period we will have find out the period at which the Cashflows from the planes will recover its initial cost of buying.
For that purpose we will add the cashflows for respectives planes and will check at which year it is able to recover its cost fully.
Therefore, Payback Period for Low Cost planes : Sum of the Cashflows till the period where it is able to recover the cost.
So, by adding cashflows till year 5 we are able to get a total amount of $770,000 from cashflows. But our initial investment in Low Cost Planes was $775,000 which means we have recovered $770,000 till year five and we have to still recover $5,000 in the 6th year.
Hence, Payback Period = 5year + $5,000 / $154,000 = 5.032 years or 5years 12 days approx.
Similarly, Payback period for High cost planes :
Now see the above table and column "Cumulative Cashflows" if see the values there for different years as mentioned along, we are able to see that till 5th year we are able to recover $881,375 of the initial cost of $950,000.
and we have to still recover $68,625 in 6th year.
Therefore, Payback Period for High cost planes = 5 + $68,625/$176,275 = 5.39 years
In the above Low cost planes are good alternative based on the Payback Period Calculation.
(b). Calculation of IRR :
To calculate IRR we have taken two Discount rate to reachout the required IRR at which the Planes NPV becomes ZERO. The two discount rates are 10% and 8% for both types of planes.
Below is the Excel Image for reference:
IRR for Low cost Planes:
For 8% discount rate NPV is positive(see the above attached excel image ) = $801,781 - $775,000 = $26,781
For 10% Discount Rate NPV is Negative ( See the above attached image) = $749,736.50 - $775,000 = -$25263.5
IRR using Trial & Error :
Lower rate + (Upper rate - Lower Rate) * Positive NPV / Negative NPV = 8% + (10% - 8%) * $26,781 / $25,263.5 = 8% + 2.12% = 10.12%
IRR for High cost Planes:
For 8% discount rate NPV is positive(see the above attached excel image ) = $984,034.3 - $950,000 = $34034.3
For 10% Discount Rate NPV is Negative ( See the above attached image) = $858,180.53 - $950,000 = -$91819.47
IRR using Trial & Error :
Lower rate + (Upper rate - Lower Rate) * Positive NPV / Negative NPV = 8% + (10% - 8%) * $34034.3 / $91819.47 = 8% + 0.741 = 8.741%
Hence, IRR for Low cost plane is Higher than the High Cost plane which is a desirable opportunity.
(c). After comparing the results obtained in part(a) and part(b) it is observed that for both the methods of evaluation we arrive at the same result that the Low Cost Plane is more profitable as compared to High Cost planes. Because using payback period method we have seen that the recovery of initial cost for Low Cost Plane is lower than the High Cost plane.
And by IRR we have seen that the IRR for low Cost plane is higher than the high cost plane.
(d). NPV Calculation for Both types of Planes:
Please see attached image of Excel calculation for NPV:
PI for low cost plane @ 9% = Discounted cashflow / Initial cost of the project = $775,074.74 / $775,000 = 1.00096
PI for high cost plane @9% = Discounted Cashflow / Initial Cost of the project = $887183.76 / $950,000 = 0.934
Hence, here it is also obvious that the High Cost plane is not a Good investement alternative so purchasing of High cost palne may be avoid by the Firm.