In: Statistics and Probability
A genetic experiment with peas resulted in one sample of offspring that consisted of
440
green peas and
163
yellow peas.
a. Construct a
95%
confidence interval to estimate of the percentage of yellow peas.
b. It was expected that 25% of the offspring peas would be yellow. Given that the percentage of offspring yellow peas is not 25%, do the results contradict expectations?
Solution :
Given that,
n = 440 + 163 = 603
x = 163
a) Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 163 / 603 = 0.270
1 - = 1 - 0.270 = 0.730
At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
=1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.270 *0.730) / 603)
= 0.035
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.270 - 0.035 < p < 0.270 + 0.035
( 0.235 < p < 0.305 )
( 23.5% < p < 30.5% )
b) No, the confidence interval include 0.25, so the true percentage could easily equal 25%