In: Statistics and Probability
A genetic experiment with peas resulted in one sample of offspring that consisted of 424 green peas and 163 yellow peas.
a. Construct a 95% confidence interval to estimate of the percentage of yellow peas.
b. It was expected that 25% of the offspring peas would be yellow. Given that the percentage of offspring yellow peas is not 25%, do the results contradict expectations?
Solution :
Given that,
n = 424 + 163 = 587
x = 163
a) Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 163 / 587 = 0.278
1 - = 1 - 0.278 = 0.722
At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
=1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.278 * 0.722) / 587)
= 0.036
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.278 - 0.036 < p < 0.278 + 0.036
( 0.242 < p < 0.314 )
b) No, the confidence interval include 0.25, so the true percentage could easily equal 25%