In: Statistics and Probability
The method of tree ring dating gave the following years A.D. for an archaeological excavation site. Assume that the population of x values has an approximately normal distribution.
| 1285 | 1313 | 1250 | 1299 | 1268 | 1316 | 1275 | 1317 | 1275 |
(a) Use a calculator with mean and standard deviation keys to find the sample mean year x and sample standard deviation s. (Round your answers to the nearest whole number.)
| x = | A.D. |
| s = | yr |
(b) Find a 90% confidence interval for the mean of all tree ring
dates from this archaeological site. (Round your answers to the
nearest whole number.)
| lower limit | A.D. |
| upper limit | A.D. |
Solution:
| x | x2 |
| 1285 | 1651225 |
| 1313 | 1723969 |
| 1250 | 1562500 |
| 1299 | 1687401 |
| 1268 | 1607824 |
| 1316 | 1731856 |
| 1275 | 1625625 |
| 1317 | 1734489 |
| 1275 | 1625625 |
x=11598 |
x2=14950514 |
Mean
= (
x
/ n) )
a ) The sample mean is
Mean
= (
x
/ n) )=1285+1313+1250+1299+1268+1316+1275+1317+12759
=11598 /9
=1288.6667
Mean
= 1289
The sample standard is S
S =
(
x2 ) - ((
x)2 / n ) n -1
=
(14950514-(11598)29
/8)
=
(14950514-14945956/8)
=
4558/8
=
569.75
=23.8694
The sample standard is =23.87
b ) Degrees of freedom = df = n - 1 = 9 - 1 = 8
At 90% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10
/ 2 = 0.10 / 2 = 0.05
t
/2,df = t0.05,8 =1.859
Margin of error = E = t
/2,df
* (s /n)
= 1.859 * (23.87 /
9)
= 14.79
Margin of error =14.79
The 90% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is,
- E <
<
+ E
1289- 14.79<
< 1289 + 14.79
1274.20 <
< 1303.79
lower limit =1274
upper limit =1304