In: Statistics and Probability
Let x be a random variable that represents white blood cell count per cubic milliliter of whole blood. Assume that x has a distribution that is approximately normal, with mean μ = 6550 and estimated standard deviation σ = 2600. A test result of x < 3500 is an indication of leukopenia. This indicates bone marrow depression that may be the result of a viral infection. (a) What is the probability that, on a single test, x is less than 3500? (Round your answer to four decimal places.) (b) Suppose a doctor uses the average x for two tests taken about a week apart. What can we say about the probability distribution of x? The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6550 and σx = 1838.48. The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6550 and σx = 1300.00. The probability distribution of x is not normal. The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6550 and σx = 2600. What is the probability of x < 3500? (Round your answer to four decimal places.) (c) Repeat part (b) for n = 3 tests taken a week apart. (Round your answer to four decimal places.) (d) Compare your answers to parts (a), (b), and (c). How did the probabilities change as n increased? The probabilities increased as n increased. The probabilities stayed the same as n increased. The probabilities decreased as n increased. If a person had x < 3500 based on three tests, what conclusion would you draw as a doctor or a nurse? It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia. It would be a common event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia. It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably does not have leukopenia. It would be a common event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably does not have leukopenia.
Solution :
Given that ,
mean = = 6550
standard deviation = = 2600
a) P(x < 3500) = P[(x - ) / < (3500 - 6550) / 2600]
= P(z < -1.17)
Using z table,
= 0.1210
b) n = 2
= = 6550
= / n = 2600/ 2 = 1838.48
The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6550 and σx = 1838.48
P( < 3500) = P(( - ) / < (3500 - 6550) / 1838.48)
= P(z < -1.66)
Using z table
= 0.0485
c) n = 3
= = 6550
= / n = 2600/ 3 = 1501.11
The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6550 and σx = 1501.11
P( < 3500) = P(( - ) / < (3500 - 6550) / 1501.11)
= P(z < -2.03)
Using z table
= 0.0212
d) The probabilities decreased as n increased.
It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia