In: Finance
Recently, David Corporation has paid $3 dividend for each of the outstanding shares. The dividend is expected to be increased at 2% for the next three years, after which the dividend would be increased by 5% per year forever. If the required return of the share is at 10%, what is the value of a share currently?
Given, | ||||
Dividend paid | $3 | |||
Growth rate for next 3 years | 2% | |||
After 3 years growth rate (perpetuity) | 5% | |||
Required return | 10% | |||
Calculation of value during abnormal stage | ||||
Year | Calculation of dividend | Dividends ($) | Discount factor @10% | PV of dividends ($) |
1 | 3*102% | 3.06 | 0.909090909 | 2.781818182 |
2 | 3.06*102% | 3.1212 | 0.826446281 | 2.579504132 |
3 | 3.1212*102% | 3.183624 | 0.751314801 | 2.391903832 |
Total | 7.753226146 | |||
Calculation of value during constant stage | ||||
As per Gordon model, | ||||
P3= (D3*(1+g))/(Re-g) | ||||
3.183624*(1+0.05)/(0.1-0.05) | ||||
$66.856104 | ||||
PV today= $66.856104/(1.1)^3 | ||||
$50.229980466 | ||||
Value of share today= $(7.753226146+50.229980466) | ||||
$57.9832066 | ||||
Value of shares currently= $57.98 (rounded off to two decimal places) | ||||
Explaination: The value of stock today is equal to
present value of all future cashflows expected from the stock
discounted at the required rate of return. In the abnormal stage, the dividend was expected to grow @ 2% per year so we need to prepare the table to calculate the present value for the first 3 years. In the constant stage, as the dividend rate was fixed @5% perpetuity so we have applied the Gordon formula. But the value so derived is at t=3 so we have pulled back to get the worth today. After both calculations, the value derived in both the stages is added to get the final value of stock today. |