In: Statistics and Probability
Advertisement ($'000) Sales ($'000)
1068 4489
1026 5611
767 3290
885 4113
1156 4883
1146 5425
892 4414
938 5506
769 3346
677 3673
1184 6542
1009 5088
Solution:
· Construct a scatter plot with this data.
The required scatter plot is given as below:

· Do you observe a relationship between both variables?
From above scatterplot we observe the positive linear relationship or association between the two variables.
· Use Excel to fit a linear regression line to the data. What is the fitted regression model?
The regression model by using Excel is given as below:
| 
 Regression Statistics  | 
||||||
| 
 Multiple R  | 
 0.823733298  | 
|||||
| 
 R Square  | 
 0.678536546  | 
|||||
| 
 Adjusted R Square  | 
 0.6463902  | 
|||||
| 
 Standard Error  | 
 592.7335727  | 
|||||
| 
 Observations  | 
 12  | 
|||||
| 
 ANOVA  | 
||||||
| 
 df  | 
 SS  | 
 MS  | 
 F  | 
 Significance F  | 
||
| 
 Regression  | 
 1  | 
 7415845.784  | 
 7415845.784  | 
 21.10773517  | 
 0.00098869  | 
|
| 
 Residual  | 
 10  | 
 3513330.883  | 
 351333.0883  | 
|||
| 
 Total  | 
 11  | 
 10929176.67  | 
||||
| 
 Coefficients  | 
 Standard Error  | 
 t Stat  | 
 P-value  | 
 Lower 95%  | 
 Upper 95%  | 
|
| 
 Intercept  | 
 -25.16823406  | 
 1042.259927  | 
 -0.024147752  | 
 0.981209823  | 
 -2347.468062  | 
 2297.131593  | 
| 
 Advertisement  | 
 4.921595798  | 
 1.071235915  | 
 4.594315528  | 
 0.00098869  | 
 2.534733447  | 
 7.30845815  | 
The regression equation is given as below:
Sales = -25.16823406 + 4.921595798*Advertisement
· What is the slope? What does the slope tell us?Is the slope significant?
The slope is given as b = 4.921595798. The slope tell us that there is an increment of 4.92 ($’000) in the sales as there is an increment of $1000 on advertisement.
The slope is statistically significant because corresponding p-value is given as 0.00098869 which is less than alpha value 0.05.
· What is the intercept? Is it meaningful?
The value of intercept is given as -25.16823406.
The intercept is not meaningful, because corresponding p-value is given as 0.9812 which is greater than alpha value 0.05.
· What is the value of the regression coefficient, r? What is the value of the coefficient of determination, r^2? What does r^2 tell us?
The value of the regression coefficient r is given as 0.823733298.
The value of the coefficient of determination is given as r^2 = 0.678536546.
This value indicated that about 67.85% of the variation in the dependent variable sale is explained by the independent variable advertisement.
· Use the model to predict sales and the business spends $950,000 in advertisement. Does the model underestimate or overestimates ales?
We have
Sales = -25.16823406 + 4.921595798*Advertisement
Advertisement = 950 thousand dollar ( or $950,000)
Sales = -25.16823406 + 4.921595798*950
Sales = 4650.347774
The value of sales is lies within range, so it is underestimate.