The demand for bonds, that is, the investors’ decision to buy
bonds depend on several factors such as follows:
- Wealth (W): Wealth increases the demand for bonds. Thus, it is
positively related with demand for bonds.
- Expected return (R): If the return on bonds is higher, the
demand will be higher. Thus, it is positively related with demand
for bonds.
- Expected Interest Rate (re): if interest rate increase, holding
bonds become less attractive. Thus, it is negatively related with
demand for bonds.
- Inflation expectation (P): If inflation is expected to
increase, then it becomes less attractive to hold bonds. Thus, it
is negatively related with demand for bonds.
- Relative risk (RR): If risk increases, then demand for bond
decrease. Thus, it is negatively related with demand for
bonds.
- Relative liquidity (RL): If bonds become more liquid, demand
for bonds increase. Thus, it is positively related with demand for
bonds.
Thus, Bond D = f(W (+) , R (+) , re (-) , P (-) , RR (-) , RL
(+))
The supply of bonds depend on:
- Government budget (G): When the government budget is in
deficit, they finance borrowing by selling bonds. Supply of bonds
increase. Thus, it is negatively related with supply for
bonds.
- Inflation expectation (P): If inflation is expected to
increase, borrowers will issue more bond and supply will increase.
Thus, it is positively related with demand for bonds.
- Business environment (B): If environment improves, bond supply
will increase. Thus, it is positively related with demand for
bonds.
Bond S = f(G (-) , P(+) ,
B(+))