In: Finance
Prokter and Gramble (PKGR) has historically maintained a debt-equity ratio of approximately 0.23. Its current stock price is $53 per share, with 2.9 billion shares outstanding. The firm enjoys very stable demand for its products, and consequently it has a low equity beta of 0.575 and can borrow at 3.7% just 20 basis points over the risk-free rate of 3.5%.The expected return of the market is10.1%, and PKGR's tax rate is 35%
a. This year, PKGR is expected to have free cash flows of $5.6 billion. What constant expected growth rate of free cash flow is consistent with its current stock price?
b. PKGR believes it can increase debt without any serious risk of distress or other costs. With a higher debt-equity ratio of 0.575 it believes its borrowing costs will rise only slightly to 4.0%.If PKGR announces that it will raise its debt-equity ratio to0.575 through a leveraged recap, determine the increase or decrease in the stock price that would result from the anticipated tax savings.
Answer to part (a): | |
Debt-Equity Ratio | 0.23 |
Equity Beta | 0.575 |
Levered Beta | = Equity Beta (1+ Debt-Eaquity Ratio) |
Levered Beta | = 0.575 (1 + 0.23/1.23) |
Levered Beta | = 0.575 (1.18699) |
Levered Beta (B) | = 0.6825 |
Risk-Free Rate (Rf) | 3.50% |
Market Return (Rm) | 10.10% |
Required Return (Re) | = Rf + (Rm-Rf)B |
= 3.5% + (10.10 - 3.5)0.6825 | |
Required Return (Re) | = 8% |
Debt Rate (r) | 3.70% |
Tax Rate (t) | 35% |
Stock Price (P) | $ 53.00 |
Shares O/s | 2.9 Billion |
Value of Equity (Ve) | = Share Price * Shares O/s |
= 53 * 2.9 B | |
Value of Equity (Ve) | = $ 153.70 Billion |
Free-cash flows | $ 5.6 Billion |
Value of Equity (Ve) | = FCFF / Ke-g |
153.7 | = 5.60 / 8% - g |
Growth (g) | = 4.36% |
Answer to part (b): | |
Debt Rate (r) | 4.00% |
Tax Rate (t) | 35% |
Levered Beta | = Equity Beta (1+ Debt-Eaquity Ratio) |
Levered Beta | = 0.575 (1 + 0.575/1.575) |
Levered Beta (B) | = 0.785 |
Required Return (Re) | = Rf + (Rm-Rf)B |
= 3.5% + (10.10 - 3.5)0.785 | |
Required Return on equity (Re) | = 8.68% |
Value of Equity (Ve) | = FCFF / Ke-g |
= 5.60 / 8.68 - 4.36 | |
Value of Equity (Ve) | = $ 129.63 Billion |
Stock Price | = 129.63 / 2.9 |
= $ 44.70/- | |
Stock Price will decrease |