Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Premise: Every coin toss thus far has come up tails. Conclusion: The next coin toss will...

Premise: Every coin toss thus far has come up tails.
Conclusion: The next coin toss will come up heads

Argument A proceeds from the (general to the general) / or (general to particular) /or (particular to particular) / or (particular to general) ?

According to the modern view of deduction and induction, Argument A is (inductive or deductive)?

NOTE: Please provide the appropriate answer and not an uncertain response.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Premise: Every coin toss thus far has come up tails (given)

Hence these observations of every coin toss till now.

Conclusion: The next coin toss will come up with heads.

Hence this is the idea we come up with.

An argument comprises of the premise and the conclusion. So here the argument A moves from particular to particular case.

According to the modern view of induction and deduction, deduction moves from Idea to observation while induction moves from observation to Idea.Also deduction moves from o general to more specific while induction moves from more specific to more general.

This,in the above case observations leads to generalisation i.e. moving from observation to Idea.

Now if the premise is true in deduction the conclusion is definitely true , whereas if the premise is true in induction the conclusion is probably true.

Here every coin toss thus far has come up tails , is true but the next coin will come up with heads, is probably true (there is no strong evidence for this conclusion)

Therefore we can conclude it is a case of induction, so the argument A is inductive.


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