In: Statistics and Probability
30.Consider a coin that comes up heads with probability p and tails with probability 1 − p. Let qn be the probability that after n independent tosses, there have been an even number of heads. Derive a recursion that relates qn to qn−1, and solve this recursion to establish the formula qn = 1 + (1 − 2p) n 2
Using method other than Mathematical Induction
Answer:-
Given That:-
Consider a coin that comes up heads with probability p and tails with probability 1 − p. Let qn be the probability that after n independent tosses, there have been an even number of heads. Derive a recursion that relates qn to qn−1, and solve this recursion to establish the formula qn = 1 + (1 − 2p)n /2.
Given,
= P[even number of heads in n independent tosses]
= P[odd number of heads in (n - 1) independent tosses and nth toss is head] + P[even number of heads in (n - 1) independent tosses and nth toss is tail]
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Proved.
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