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FINANCIAL LEVERAGE EFFECTS The Neal Company wants to estimate next year's return on equity (ROE) under different financial leverage ratios. Neal's total capital is $15 million, it currently uses only common equity, it has no future plans to use preferred stock in its capital structure, and its federal-plus-state tax rate is 40%. The CFO has estimated next year's EBIT for three possible states of the world: $4.2 million with a 0.2 probability, $3.5 million with a 0.5 probability, and $0.5 million with a 0.3 probability. Calculate Neal's expected ROE, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation for each of the following debt-to-capital ratios. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places at the end of the calculations. Debt/Capital ratio is 0.
Debt/Capital ratio is 10%, interest rate is 9%.
Debt/Capital ratio is 50%, interest rate is 11%.
Debt/Capital ratio is 60%, interest rate is 14%.
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Calculation of Return of Equity, Standard deviation and coefficient of variation under 4 different capital structures:
Total Capital = $15 millions
Return on Equity = Earnings after tax/Average Equity
Standard deviation = (ΣP(Xi - μ)2)(1/2) , where Xi = return on each probability, μ = Average return
Coefficient of variation = Standard deviation/Average return*100
(i) Debt/Capital ratio is 0:
Equity = $15 millions, Debt = 0
Calculation of Earnings after tax:
EBIT($ in millions) |
Earnings after interest & tax (EAT) ($ in millions) |
Probability (P) |
EAT*P |
Xi - μ |
(Xi - μ)2 |
P*(Xi - μ)2 |
4.2 |
=(4.2-0)*(1-0.4) = 2.52 |
0.2 |
0.504 |
0.876 |
0.767376 |
0.15348 |
3.5 |
=(3.5-0)*(1-0.4) = 2.10 |
0.5 |
1.05 |
0.456 |
0.207936 |
0.10397 |
0.5 |
=(0.5-0)*(1-0.4) = 0.30 |
0.3 |
0.09 |
-1.344 |
1.806336 |
0.5419 |
1.644 |
0.79934 |
Earnings after tax= $1.644 million
(a) Return on Equity = ($1.644/$15) millions
= 10.96%
(b) Standard deviation = (0.79934)1/2
= 0.89
(c) Coefficient of variation = 0.89/1.644*100
= 54.38%
(ii) Debt/Capital ratio is 10%:
Equity = $15 millions*90% = $13.5 millions, Debt = $15 millions*10% = $1.5 millions
Interest cost = $1.5 million * 9% = $0.135 million
Calculation of Earnings after tax:
EBIT ($ in millions) |
Earnings after interest & tax (EAT) ($ in millions) |
Probability (P) |
EAT*P |
Xi - μ |
(Xi - μ)2 |
P*(Xi - μ)2 |
4.2 |
2.44 |
0.2 |
0.4878 |
0.876 |
0.767376 |
0.15348 |
3.5 |
2.02 |
0.5 |
1.0095 |
0.456 |
0.207936 |
0.10397 |
0.5 |
0.22 |
0.3 |
0.0657 |
-1.344 |
1.806336 |
0.5419 |
1.563 |
0.79934 |
Earnings after tax= $1.563 million
(a) Return on Equity = ($1.563/$13.5) millions
= 11.58%
(b) Standard deviation = (0.79934)1/2
= 0.89
(c) Coefficient of variation = 0.89/1.563*100
= 57.20%
(iii) Debt/Capital ratio is 50%:
Equity = $15 millions*50% = $7.5 millions, Debt = $15 millions*50% = $7.5 millions
Interest cost = $7.5 million * 11% = $0.825 million
Calculation of Earnings after tax:
EBIT ($ in millions) |
Earnings after interest & tax (EAT) ($ in millions) |
Probability (P) |
EAT*P |
Xi - μ |
(Xi - μ)2 |
P*(Xi - μ)2 |
4.2 |
2.03 |
0.2 |
0.405 |
0.876 |
0.767376 |
0.15348 |
3.5 |
1.61 |
0.5 |
0.8025 |
0.456 |
0.207936 |
0.10397 |
0.5 |
-0.20 |
0.3 |
-0.0585 |
-1.344 |
1.806336 |
0.5419 |
1.149 |
0.79934 |
(a) Return on Equity = ($1.149/$7.5) millions
= 15.32%
(b) Standard deviation = (0.79934)1/2
= 0.89
(c) Coefficient of variation = 0.89/1.563*100
= 77.81%
(iv)Debt/Capital ratio is 60%:
Equity = $15 millions*40% = $6 millions, Debt = $15 millions*60% = $9 millions
Interest cost = $9 million * 14% = $1.26 million
Calculation of Earnings after tax:
EBIT ($ in millions) |
Earnings after interest & tax (EAT) ($ in millions) |
Probability (P) |
EAT*P |
Xi - μ |
(Xi - μ)2 |
P*(Xi - μ)2 |
4.2 |
1.76 |
0.2 |
0.3528 |
0.876 |
0.767376 |
0.15348 |
3.5 |
1.34 |
0.5 |
0.672 |
0.456 |
0.207936 |
0.10397 |
0.5 |
-0.46 |
0.3 |
-0.1368 |
-1.344 |
1.806336 |
0.5419 |
0.888 |
0.79934 |
(a) Return on Equity = ($0.888/$6) millions
= 14.8%
(b) Standard deviation = (0.79934)1/2
= 0.89
(c) Coefficient of variation = 0.89/0.888*100
= 100.68%
Therefore, final answers are as follows:
Debt/Capital ratio is 0.
ROE= 10.96
σ = 0.89
CV = 54.38%
Debt/Capital ratio is 10%, interest rate is 9%.
ROE = 11.58%
σ = 0.89
CV = 57.20%
Debt/Capital ratio is 50%, interest rate is 11%.
ROE = 15.32%
σ = 0.89
CV = 77.81%
Debt/Capital ratio is 60%, interest rate is 14%.
ROE = 14.8%
σ = 0.89
CV = 100.68%