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In: Statistics and Probability

QUESTION 4 (2 + 1 + 2 + 1 + 4 =10 marks) It is believed...

QUESTION 4 (2 + 1 + 2 + 1 + 4 =10 marks)

It is believed that cities tend to attract workers that are better educated. A sample of 610 people were classified by their highest education level (Primary and secondary school, Undergraduate and Postgraduate degree) and whether a person is working in a city or a town. The following information was obtained:

  • Primary and secondary school: 89 people in total finished primary and secondary school as their highest qualification; 51 people completed their primary and secondary education and work in a city.
  • Undergraduate degree: 349 people in total completed undergraduate degree as their highest qualification; 220 people completed their undergraduate degree and work in a city.
  • Postgraduate degree: 172 people in total completed postgraduate degree as their highest qualification; 116 people completed their postgraduate education degree and work in a city.
  1. What is the probability that a person, who has completed primary and secondary school as their highest qualification, works in a town. Show your working.

  2. Let the variable Education represent the highest education level and the variable Working Status represent whether a person is working in a city or a town. Name the dependent variable.

  3. We would like to investigate if there is an association between the level of education and whether a person is working in a city or town. What type of test would you conduct and why?

  4. State the appropriate hypotheses statements of the test above.

  5. Assume that we carry out the test above at the 1% level of significance. The test statistic value is 4.75. State the decision rule, decision, and conclusion in the context of this question. (Hint: You can use a critical value approach OR p-value approach to derive your decision)

Solutions

Expert Solution

Answer:-

Given That:-

It is believed that cities tend to attract workers that are better educated. A sample of 610 people were classified by their highest education level (Primary and secondary school, Undergraduate and Postgraduate degree) and whether a person is working in a city or a town.

Given,

Does Work Does not work Total
Primary and secondary education 51 38 89
Undergraduate degree 220 129 349
Posrgraduate degree 116 56 172
Total 387 223 610

a) What is the probability that a person, who has completed primary and secondary school as their highest qualification, works in a town. Show your working.

Probability = 51/89 = 0.57

b) Let the variable Education represent the highest education level and the variable Working Status represent whether a person is working in a city or a town. Name the dependent variable.

The dependent variable is the working status.

c) We would like to investigate if there is an association between the level of education and whether a person is working in a city or town. What type of test would you conduct and why?

The chi-square test of association would be appropriate here because we have two categorical variables.

d) State the appropriate hypotheses statements of the test above.

The hypothesis being tested is:

H0: There is no association between the level of education and whether a person is working in a city or town.

Ha: There is an association between the level of education and whether a person is working in a city or town.

e) Assume that we carry out the test above at the 1% level of significance. The test statistic value is 4.75. State the decision rule, decision, and conclusion in the context of this question. (Hint: You can use a critical value approach OR p-value approach to derive your decision)

Decision rule:

Reject H0 if the p-value < 0.01.

Does Work Does not work Total

Primary and secondary education Observed

Expected

O - E

51

56.46

-5.46

0.53

38

32.54

5.46

0.92

89

89.00

0.00

1.45

Undergraduate degree Observed

Expected

O - E

220

221.41

-1.41

0.01

129

127.59

1.41

0.02

349

349.00

0.00

0.02

Posrgraduate degree Observed

Expected

O - E

116

109.12

6.88

0.43

56

62.88

-6.88

0.75

172

172.00

0.00

1.19

Total Observed

Expected

O - E

387

387.00

0.00

0.97

223

223.00

0.00

1.69

610

610.00

0.00

4.75

4.75

2

.2649

chi-square

df

p - value

The p-value is 0.2649.

Since the p-value (0.2649) is greater than the significance level (0.01), we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Therefore, we cannot conclude that there is an association between the level of education and whether a person is working in a city or town.

Please give me a thumbs-up if this helps you out. Thank you!


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