Question

In: Statistics and Probability

A sales analyst wants to determine whether there is difference in the mean monthly sales (in...

  1. A sales analyst wants to determine whether there is difference in the mean monthly sales (in RM) of cosmetic company of six sales region in Johor. Several salespersons from each region are chosen and their monthly sales were recorded in Table Q2.

Monthly sale (RM)

Company A

Company B

Company C

Company D

Company E

Company F

4250

3930

3960

4350

4150

3970

3980

4010

4020

4450

3890

4160

4020

4050

4130

3880

4568

4370

4130

4220

4350

4574

4480

4290

4050

4177

4130

4430

4580

4250

4375

4058

4090

4148

Determine whether there is evidence of a difference in the monthly sales of the six cosmetics company at the 0.05 level of significance.

Solutions

Expert Solution

A sales analyst wants to determine whether there is difference in the mean monthly sales (in RM) of cosmetic company of six sales region in Johor.

Given data

Monthly sale (RM)

Company A

Company B

Company C

Company D

Company E

Company F

4250

3930

3960

4350

4150

3970

3980

4010

4020

4450

3890

4160

4020

4050

4130

3880

4568

4370

4130

4220

4350

4574

4480

4290

4050

4177

4130

4430

4580

4250

4375

4058

4090

4148

To determine whether there is evidence of a difference in the monthly sales of the six cosmetics company at the 0.05 level of significance.

Let aj denotes monthly sales of the 'j th' cosmetics company where j = 1,2,3,4,5,6.

To Test :-

H0 : aj = 0        { treament mean do not differ i.e monthly sales of the six cosmetics company may be same }

H1 : aj 0 , for atleast one i    { there may be difference in monthly sales of the six cosmetics company }

Test Statistics F:-

F = MSRes / MSE

Criteria :-

Reject null hypothesis if calculated test statistics F-value is greater than F-Critical value .

Calculations :

MSRes = SSRes / (k-1)

MSE = SSE / (n-k)

where

SSRes = Sum of squre due to Residual or Between sum of squares

SSE =    n

SSRes =

SSE =

and k - number of companies )

       nj = number of observation in each company

[ Note that we will find F-value using above formula . Also for calculation purpose we will use Excel or R , if manuall calculations are required can ask for that in comment box ]

Here n = 34 ( Total observations )

Now =

        = ( 4250 + 3980 + 4020 + 4130 + 4050 + 3930 + 4010 + ............. + 4580 + 4058 + 4148 ) / 34

        =4190.294118                 ( Overall Mean )               ... (i)

To find mean of each group

Formula =

For j = 1

= = ( 4250 + 3980 + 4020 + 4130 + 4050 ) / 5

= 4086

For j =2

= = ( 3930 + 4010 + 4050 + 4220 + 4177 + 4250 + 4090 ) / 7

= 4103.857143

Similary we calculate for j = 3,4,5,6

Thus

= 4086 , = 4103.857143 , = 4115.000

= 4293.167 , = 4303.600 , = 4225.143                              ... (ii)

also n1 =5 , n2=7 , n3 =4 , n4=6 , n5=5 , n6 =7                                 ... (iii)

For (i) , (ii) and (iii)

SSRes =

     = 5*(4086 - 4190.2941)2 + 7*(4086 - 4190.2941)2 +....+ 5*(4303.600- 4190.2941)2+ 6*( 4225.143   - 4190.2941)2

SSRes = 265551.3

Thus MSRes = SSRES / ( k-1)

                     = 265551.3 / ( 6-1)     

         MSRes = 53110.26

And

SSE =

        = (4250 - 4086)2 + (3980 - 4086)2 + (4020 - 4086)2 +.... + (4580 -4225.143)2 +(4058 -4225.143)2 + (4148- 4225.143)2

After calculation

SSE =   45720 + 82324.85714 + 88500 + 310720.8333 + 311659.2 + 254342.8571

SSE = 1093267.747619

Thus MSE = SSE / ( n-k)

                     = 1093267.747619 / ( 34-6)     

         MSE = 39045.28

Also

Total sum of square TSS = SSRes + SSE =   265551.3 + 1093267.747619

TSS = 1358819

To calculate test statistics F-Value

F = MSRes / MSE

   = 53110.26 / 39045.28

F = 1.360222

Hence calculated test statistics value is F-Value = 1360222

ANOVA Table :-

Source SS df MS F
Company (Treatment) 265551.3 k-1 = 5 53110.26 1.36
Error 1093267.7476 n-k = 28 39045.28
Total 1358819 n-1 = 33

To find F-critical value

Here given level of significance = 0.05

df1 = k-1 = 5    and   df2 = n-k = 28

Critical F-Value with df1=5 and df2=28 at = 0.05 , can be obtained from statistical book or from any software like R/Excel .

From R

> qf(1-0.05,df1=5,df2=28)
[1] 2.558128

Thus

= 2.558128   

Conclusion :-

{ Reject null hypothesis if calculated test statistics F-value is greater than F-Critical value }

Since calculated F-Value = 1.36 is less that F-Critical value = 2.558128

i.e F-Value = 1.36 < 2.558128 ( )

We fail to reject null hypothesis

So , there is not sufficient evidence of a difference in the monthly sales of the six cosmetics company at the 0.05 level of significance.

Hence there may not be any difference in the monthly sales (in RM) of the six cosmetics company .


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