In: Finance
A firm is considering Projects S and L, with the following cash
flows:
Project L: −$2,150 in year 0, $765 in years 1, 2, 3, and 4
Project S: −$1,025 in year 0, $380 in years 1, 2, 3, and 4
These projects are mutually exclusive. The projects are also
equally risky with WACC of 6%. The CEO wants to use the IRR
criterion, while the CFO favors the NPV method. You were hired to
advise the firm on the best procedure. If the wrong decision
criterion is used, how much potential value would the firm
lose?
a. $188.68
b. $230.49
c.$198.61
d.$209.07
e. $219.52
Solution
Option D
IRR is the internal rate of return such that the Net Present Value of a set of cashflows from an investment/project will equal to its initial investment. This inturn determines the performance return of the project investment.
NPV on the other hand is the sum of the discounted values of all the cashflows to today's value discounted by the interest rate.
In the example, we will calculate IRR using Excel IRR method which takes in the set of cash flows and NPV by discounting each cash flow by 6%. This is copied in the table below:
Year | Year | CFS | CFL | PV | PV | |
01-Jan-10 | 0 | -1025 | -2150 | -1025 | -2150 | |
01-Jan-11 | 1 | $380 | $765 | $358.49 | $721.70 | |
01-Jan-12 | 2 | $380 | $765 | $338.20 | $680.85 | |
01-Jan-13 | 3 | $380 | $765 | $319.06 | $642.31 | |
01-Jan-14 | 4 | $380 | $765 | $301.00 | $605.95 | |
IRR | 17.861% | 15.781% | NPV | $291.74 | $500.81 |
Copying the formula sheet below:
r | 0.06 | ||||
Year | CFS | CFL | PV | PV | |
0 | -1025 | -2150 | =B4 | =C4 | |
1 | 380 | 765 | =B5/(1+$B$1)^$A5 | =C5/(1+$B$1)^$A5 | |
2 | 380 | 765 | =B6/(1+$B$1)^$A6 | =C6/(1+$B$1)^$A6 | |
3 | 380 | 765 | =B7/(1+$B$1)^$A7 | =C7/(1+$B$1)^$A7 | |
4 | 380 | 765 | =B8/(1+$B$1)^$A8 | =C8/(1+$B$1)^$A8 | |
IRR | =IRR(B4:B8) | =IRR(C4:C8) | NPV | =SUM(E4:E8) | =SUM(F4:F8) |
IRR criterion is best suited when multiple projects that are compared have the same initial investment. This gives a fair comparison criteria as the one with higher returns will be preferred.
When it comes to improving the profitability of the firm, then the project with higher NPV will be profitable because it gives higher profit as compared to other projects.
In this case, IRR of CFS is higher than CFL, however NPV of CFL is higher than CFS.
Hence, if IRR is used instead of NPV, then there is a potential loss of NPV(CFL) - NPV(CFS) = 500.81 - 291.74 = $209.07