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You are evaluating a small project for your company. The idea is to introduce a new,...

  1. You are evaluating a small project for your company. The idea is to introduce a new, but short lived, new product. Sales over the 6 year useful life of the project will be 100,000 units, 120,000 units, 110,000 units, 100,000 units, 70,000 units and 70,000 in each of the 6 years. The price will fluctuate each year, with the pattern being $16, $18, $17, $14, $14 and $14. The cash operating expenses will be, on a per unit basis, $7, $8, $10, $8, $7 and $7. The project will require two pieces of equipment. The Loader will cost $500,000 installed, and the Stamper will cost $1,000,000 installed. Both will be depreciated using straight line depreciation over the 6 year useful life of the project. At the end of the project’s useful life, the Loader will be sold for $100,000 and the Stamper will be sold for $200,000. In addition, an investment in NWC will be required initially at a cost of $250,000, and at the end of the project’s life this investment will be returned. The tax rate is 40%, and your cost of capital is 13%. What is the IRR for the project? What is the MIRR for the project? Should the project be accepted? Assume that your worst case analysis is that all prices are $1 lower than your base case analysis. Does this change the IRR estimate? Is the project still acceptable?

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Expert Solution

Initial Investment
Loader $    -5,00,000.00
Stamper $ -10,00,000.00
NWC $    -2,50,000.00
Total Investment $ -17,50,000.00
Cost of Capital 13%
Depreciation Schedule Calculation
Loader Stamper
Original Value $           5,00,000.00 $             10,00,000.00 A
Salvage Value (after 6 years) $           1,00,000.00 $               2,00,000.00 B
Amount to be Depreciated over 6 years $           4,00,000.00 $               8,00,000.00 C = A - B
Annual Depreciation (straight Line Method) $              66,666.67 $               1,33,333.33 D = C/6
Total Depreciation for Project $           2,00,000.00

In straight line method, Annual Depreciation is obtained by diving total depreciation amount by number of years (i.e. 6 here)

Proforma Income Statement for the Project
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
Price/Unit $                           16.00 $                        18.00 $                  17.00 $                    14.00 $                   14.00 $                    14.00 a
Cost/Unit $                              7.00 $                           8.00 $                  10.00 $                       8.00 $                     7.00 $                      7.00 b
Sales in Units 100000 120000 110000 100000 70000 70000 c
Sales $             16,00,000.00 $          21,60,000.00 $    18,70,000.00 $      14,00,000.00 $       9,80,000.00 $        9,80,000.00 d=a*c
COGS $               7,00,000.00 $            9,60,000.00 $    11,00,000.00 $        8,00,000.00 $       4,90,000.00 $        4,90,000.00 e=b*c
Contribution Margin $               9,00,000.00 $          12,00,000.00 $      7,70,000.00 $        6,00,000.00 $       4,90,000.00 $        4,90,000.00 f=d-e
Depreciation $               2,00,000.00 $            2,00,000.00 $      2,00,000.00 $        2,00,000.00 $       2,00,000.00 $        2,00,000.00 g
Profit Before tax (PBT) $               7,00,000.00 $          10,00,000.00 $      5,70,000.00 $        4,00,000.00 $       2,90,000.00 $        2,90,000.00 h=f-g
Tax @ 40% $               2,80,000.00 $            4,00,000.00 $      2,28,000.00 $        1,60,000.00 $       1,16,000.00 $        1,16,000.00 i=0.40*h
Profit After Tax (PAT) $               4,20,000.00 $            6,00,000.00 $      3,42,000.00 $        2,40,000.00 $       1,74,000.00 $        1,74,000.00 j=h-i
Depreciation $               2,00,000.00 $            2,00,000.00 $      2,00,000.00 $        2,00,000.00 $       2,00,000.00 $        2,00,000.00 g
Cash Flow from Project $               6,20,000.00 $            8,00,000.00 $      5,42,000.00 $        4,40,000.00 $       3,74,000.00 $        3,74,000.00 k=j+g
Salvage Value of Loader $        1,00,000.00 l
Salvage Value of Stamper $        2,00,000.00 m
Return investment $        2,50,000.00 n
Total Cash flows from the Project $       -17,50,000.00 $               6,20,000.00 $            8,00,000.00 $      5,42,000.00 $        4,40,000.00 $       3,74,000.00 $        9,24,000.00 o=k+l+m+n
IRR 27.04%

All of the rest can be calculated manually, But IRR is a trial and error method manually. Hence, using excel IRR function, IRR can be calculated and it comes out to be 27.04%.

With IRR 27.04% which is greater than cost of Capital 13%, project can be taken.

For MIRR, since financing cost is not given separately and there is no other negative cashflow it can be calculated simply by using following formula:

FV of positive cashflow using cost of capital = $58,34,372.74

n=6

MIRR = 22.22%

For Worst Case,

Just by reducing prices by $1

Proforma Income Statement for the Project
Year 0 Year1 Year 2 Year3 Year4 Year5 Year6
1 2 3 4 5 6
Price/Unit $                           15.00 $                        17.00 $                  16.00 $                    13.00 $                   13.00 $                    13.00 a
Cost/Unit $                              7.00 $                           8.00 $                  10.00 $                       8.00 $                     7.00 $                      7.00 b
Sales in Units 100000 120000 110000 100000 70000 70000 c
Sales $             15,00,000.00 $          20,40,000.00 $    17,60,000.00 $      13,00,000.00 $       9,10,000.00 $        9,10,000.00 d=a*c
COGS $               7,00,000.00 $            9,60,000.00 $    11,00,000.00 $        8,00,000.00 $       4,90,000.00 $        4,90,000.00 e=b*c
Contribution Margin $               8,00,000.00 $          10,80,000.00 $      6,60,000.00 $        5,00,000.00 $       4,20,000.00 $        4,20,000.00 f=d-e
Depereciation $               2,00,000.00 $            2,00,000.00 $      2,00,000.00 $        2,00,000.00 $       2,00,000.00 $        2,00,000.00 g
Profit Before tax (PBT) $               6,00,000.00 $            8,80,000.00 $      4,60,000.00 $        3,00,000.00 $       2,20,000.00 $        2,20,000.00 h=f-g
Tax @ 40% $               2,40,000.00 $            3,52,000.00 $      1,84,000.00 $        1,20,000.00 $           88,000.00 $           88,000.00 i=0.40*h
Profit After Tax (PAT) $               3,60,000.00 $            5,28,000.00 $      2,76,000.00 $        1,80,000.00 $       1,32,000.00 $        1,32,000.00 j=h-i
Depreciation $               2,00,000.00 $            2,00,000.00 $      2,00,000.00 $        2,00,000.00 $       2,00,000.00 $        2,00,000.00 g
Cash Flow from Project $               5,60,000.00 $            7,28,000.00 $      4,76,000.00 $        3,80,000.00 $       3,32,000.00 $        3,32,000.00 k=j+g
Salvage Value of Loader $        1,00,000.00 l
Salvage Value of Stamper $        2,00,000.00 m
Return investment $        2,50,000.00 n
Total Cashflows from the Project $       -17,50,000.00 $               5,60,000.00 $            7,28,000.00 $      4,76,000.00 $        3,80,000.00 $       3,32,000.00 $        8,82,000.00 o=k+l+m+n
IRR 22.53%

Even with worst case scenario IRR is much above cost of capital of 13%. Go for the Project

And using the method same as above

MIRR = 20.35%


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