In: Statistics and Probability
In the Focus Problem at the beginning of this chapter, a study was described comparing the hatch ratios of wood duck nesting boxes. Group I nesting boxes were well separated from each other and well hidden by available brush. There were a total of 491 eggs in group I boxes, of which a field count showed about 260 hatched. Group II nesting boxes were placed in highly visible locations and grouped closely together. There were a total of 816 eggs in group II boxes, of which a field count showed about 268 hatched.
(a) Find a point estimate p̂1 for
p1, the proportion of eggs that hatch in group
I nest box placements. (Round your answer to three decimal
places.)
p̂1 =
Find a 99% confidence interval for p1. (Round
your answers to three decimal places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
(b) Find a point estimate p̂2 for
p2, the proportion of eggs that hatch in group
II nest box placements. (Round your answer to three decimal
places.)
p̂2 =
Find a 99% confidence interval for p2. (Round
your answers to three decimal places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
(c) Find a 99% confidence interval for p1 −
p2. (Round your answers to three decimal
places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
Solution :
Given that n1 = 491 , x1 = 260 , n2 = 816 , x2 = 268
(a)
=> Proportion p1 = x1/n1
= 260/491
= 0.5295
= 0.530 (rounded)
=> q1 = 1 - p1 = 0.470
=> For 99% confidence interval , Z = 2.58
=> The 99% confidence interval for p1 is
=> p1 +/- Z*sqrt(p1*q1/n1)
=> 0.530 +/- 2.58*sqrt(0.530*0.470/491)
=> (0.4719 , 0.5881)
=> (0.472 , 0.588) (rounded)
=> Lower limit = 0.472
=> Upper limit = 0.588
(b)
=> Proportion p2 = x2/n2
= 268/816
= 0.3284
= 0.328 (rounded)
=> q2 = 1 - p2 = 0.672
=> For 99% confidence interval , Z = 2.58
=> The 99% confidence interval for p1 is
=> p2 +/- Z*sqrt(p2*q2/n2)
=> 0.328 +/- 2.58*sqrt(0.328*0.672/816)
=> (0.2856 , 0.3704)
=> (0.286 , 0.370) (rounded)
=> Lower limit = 0.286
=> Upper limit = 0.370
(c)
=> The 99% confidence interval for p1 − p2 is
=> (p1 - p2) +/- Z*sqrt((p1*q1/n1) + (p2*q2/n2))
=> (0.530 - 0.328) +/- 2.58*sqrt((0.530*0.470/491) + (0.328*0.672/816))
=> 0.202 +/- 2.58*sqrt(0.0005 + 0.0003)
=> 0.202 +/- 0.073
=> (0.129 , 0.275)
=> Lower limit = 0.129
=> Upper limit = 0.275