In: Finance
A tract of farm land requires an initial outlay $50,000. The first-year net cash flow is $4,000 and will increase 4% annually. The land value will grow 2% annually. A farmer’s real cost of capital is 6% and the anticipated inflation rate is 3%. The farmer pays 20% tax on ordinary income and 15% tax on capital gain. The farmer is considering making the investment on the tract of farm land and holding it for 6 years. Please help the farmer evaluate the profitability of the investment.
Farmer's nominal cost of capital = 6% + 3% = 9%
We first chalk out the Net-cashflows in excel
Year | Cash-flows | Cash-flow due to tax | Net cash-flows |
0 | -50000 | 0 | -50000 |
1 | 4000 | -800 | 3200 |
2 | 4160 | -832 | 3328 |
3 | 4326.4 | -865.28 | 3461.12 |
4 | 4499.456 | -899.8912 | 3599.5648 |
5 | 4679.43424 | -935.886848 | 3743.547392 |
6 | 4866.61161 | -973.3223219 | 3893.289288 |
6 | 56308.12096 | -8446.218144 | 47861.90282 |
We calculate the NPV with nominal cost of capital 9% using NPV function in excel
NPV = Initial investment + NPV (9%, All net cash-flows from year 1-6)
Year | Net cash-flows |
0 | -50000 |
1 | 3200 |
2 | 3328 |
3 | 3461.12 |
4 | 3599.5648 |
5 | 3743.547392 |
6 | 51755.19211 |
NPV | -5747.488031 |
Since the NPV of the investment is negative, the investment is not profitable.