In: Finance
Benefits of diversification. Sally Rogers has decided to invest her wealth equally across the following three assets:
a. What are her expected returns and the risk from her investment in the three assets? How do they compare with investing in asset M alone?
Hint:Find the standard deviations of asset M and of the portfolio equally invested in assets M, N, and O.
b. Could Sally reduce her total risk even more by using assets M and N only, assets M and O only, or assets N and O only? Use a 50/50 split between the asset pairs, and find the standard deviation of each asset pair.
States | Probability | Asset M Return | Asset N Return | Asset O Return |
Boom | 32% | 11% | 20% | 3% |
Normal | 51% | 9% | 13% | 9% |
Recession | 17% | 3% | 0% | 11% |
a.
States |
Probability |
Asset M Return |
Asset N Return |
Asset O Return |
Return on Portfolio [1/3 X (Asset M Return + Asset N Return + Asset O Return)] |
Boom |
32% |
11% |
20% |
3% |
11.33% |
Normal |
51% |
9% |
13% |
9% |
10.33% |
Recession |
17% |
3% |
0% |
11% |
4.67% |
Expected return of Asset M [Summation of (Probability X Respective Asset Returns)] |
8.62% |
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Expected return of Asset N |
13.03% |
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Expected return of Asset O |
7.42% |
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Expected return of Portfolio |
9.69% |
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Variance of Asset M [32%*(11%-8.62%)^2+51%*(9%-8.62%)^2+17%*(3%-8.62%)^2] |
0.07% |
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Variance of Asset N |
0.44% |
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Variance of Asset O |
0.10% |
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Variance of Portfolio |
0.05% |
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Std. Dev. Of Asset M |
(0.07%)^0.5=2.69% |
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Std. Dev. Of Asset N |
6.66% |
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Std. Dev. Of Asset O |
3.12% |
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Std. Dev. Of Portfolio |
2.32% |
The expected return and the risk of investing equally in three assets are 9.69% and 2.32% respectively. If Sally Rogers would have invested in Asset M alone, she would have an expected return of 8.62% with a standard deviation of 2.69%.
b.
States |
Probability |
Asset M Return |
Asset N Return |
Asset O Return |
Return on M & N Portfolio [1/2 X (Asset M Return + Asset N Return)] |
Return on M & O Portfolio |
Return on N & O Portfolio |
Boom |
32% |
11% |
20% |
3% |
15.50% |
7.00% |
11.50% |
Normal |
51% |
9% |
13% |
9% |
11.00% |
9.00% |
11.00% |
Recession |
17% |
3% |
0% |
11% |
1.50% |
7.00% |
5.50% |
Expected return on M & N Portfolio [Summation of (Probability X Respective portfolio returns)] |
10.83% |
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Expected return on M & O Portfolio |
8.02% |
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Expected return on N & O Portfolio |
10.23% |
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Variance of M & N Portfolio [32%*(15.50%-10.83%)^2+51%*(11%-10.83%)^2+17%*(1.50%-10.83%)^2 |
0.22% |
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Variance of M & O Portfolio |
0.01% |
||||||
Variance of N & O Portfolio |
0.05% |
||||||
Std. Dev. of M & N Portfolio (0.22%)^0.5 |
4.67% |
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Std. Dev. of M & O Portfolio |
1.00% |
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Std. Dev. of N & O Portfolio |
2.15% |
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Sally can reduce her total risk even more by investing in Assets M & O in equal proportions.