In: Finance
AI intelligence, a new artificial intelligent for medical devices company, is expected to experience short-term supernormal dividend growth rates of 20% in year 1, 15% in year 2 and 12% in year 3. After 3 years of supernormal growth, this company dividend is expected to grow at a constant rate of 5%. However, today due to an increased demand for medical devices, analysts have made an upward projection on its short-term growth rates to 35% in year 1, 25% in year 2 and 18% in year 3 and long-term constant growth rate of 5%. If the most recent dividend paid is $1 per share and its required return remains at 15%, approximately how much do you expect the change in AI intelligence stock price per share today (indicate an increase or a decrease in stock price and show your calculation steps)?
EXPECTED INCREASE IN SHARE PRICE = +3.733
PRICE OF SHARE WITH GROWTH RATE 20% , 15% AND 12% RESPECTIVELY
year | expected dividend | PVF@15% | PV OF DIVIDEND | |
1 | 1x1.2 | 1.200 | 0.870 | 1.043 |
2 | 1.2x1.15 | 1.380 | 0.756 | 1.043 |
3 | 1.380*1.12 | 1.546 | 0.658 | 1.016 |
3.103 | ||||
price of share at the end of 3rd year (P3)= | d3 x (1+g) | |||
ke- g | ||||
= | 16.229 | |||
present value of share = | PV of P3 + PV of dividends | |||
= | P3 x PVF@15% + PV of dividends | |||
= | 13.774 |
PRICE PER SHARE AFTER 3 YEARS WITH GROWTH RATE 35% , 25% AND 18% RESPECTIVELY
year | expected dividend | PVF@15% | PV OF DIVIDEND | |
1 | 1x1.35 | 1.350 | 0.870 | 1.174 |
2 | 1.35x1.25 | 1.688 | 0.756 | 1.276 |
3 | 1.688*1.18 | 1.991 | 0.658 | 1.309 |
3.759 | ||||
price of share at the end of 3rd year (P3)= | d3 x (1+g) | |||
ke- g | ||||
= | 20.908 | |||
present value of share = | PV of P3 + PV of dividends | |||
= | P3 x PVF@15% + PV of dividends | |||
= | 17.507 |
CHANGE IN PRICE OF AI INTERLLIGANCE = 17.507 - 13.774
= 3.733
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