Question

In: Statistics and Probability

In the 1990s, it was generally believed that genetic abnormalities affected about 5% of a large...

In the 1990s, it was generally believed that genetic abnormalities affected about 5% of a large nation's children. Some people believe that the increase in the number of chemicals in the environment has led to an increase in the incidence of abnormalities, which could have important implications for health insurance companies. A recent study examined 366 randomly selected children and found that 26 of them showed signs of a genetic abnormality.

(a) Which hypotheses should be used to test if the proportion of genetic abnormalities has increased in recent years?

H0: p = 0.05 vs. Ha: p < 0.05H0: p = 0.05 vs. Ha: p ≠ 0.05     H0: p = 0.0710 vs. Ha: p < 0.0710H0: p = 0.0710 vs. Ha: p ≠ 0.0710H0: p = 0.05 vs. Ha: p > 0.05H0: p = 0.0710 vs. Ha: p > 0.0710



(b) Are the conditions met for doing the hypothesis test?

The 15 successes and failures condition is met. The children taking part in the study were independent of each other.The sample was randomly chosen.None of the conditions are met.




(c) What is the p-value? (Use 3 decimals.)  

(d) What does this p-value mean?

The p-value is the chance of observing 26 or more children with genetic abnormalities in a random sample of 366 children, if the true proportion of children with genetic abnormalities is 5%.The p-value is the chance of observing 5% of children with genetic abnormalities.     The p-value gives the actual percentage of children who have genetic abnormalities.The p-value is the chance of observing 26 or more children with genetic abnormalities in a random sample of 366 children, if the true proportion of children with genetic abnormalities is 7.1%.



(e) What is the conclusion of the hypothesis test, for α = 0.05?

Reject H0. There is sufficient evidence that more than 5% of this nation's children have genetic abnormalities.Reject H0. There is insufficient evidence that more than 5% of this nation's children have genetic abnormalities.     Do not reject H0. There is sufficient evidence that more than 5% of this nation's children have genetic abnormalities.Do not reject H0. There is insufficient evidence that more than 5% of this nation's children have genetic abnormalities.



(f) Do this study show that environmental chemicals cause congenital abnormalities?

Yes, the hypothesis test shows that environmental chemicals cause the genetic abnormality.This study does not address what causes the genetic abnormality.     No, the hypothesis test shows that environmental chemicals do not cause the genetic abnormality.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Solution:

Ho:p=0.05

Ha:p>0.05

H0: p = 0.05 vs. Ha: p > 0.05

np=366*0.05=18.3>15

n(1-p)=366*(1-0.05)= 347.7>15

The 15 successes and failures condition is met.

The sample was randomly chosen.

Solution-c:

In ti 83 calsulcator

Go to STAT>TESTS>1-PropZTest

to get z and p value

p value=0.032

The p-value is the chance of observing 26 or more children with genetic abnormalities in a random sample of 366 children, if the true proportion of children with genetic abnormalities is 5%.

(e) What is the conclusion of the hypothesis test, for α = 0.05?

p=0.032

alpha=0.05

p<0.05

Reject Ho

Reject H0. There is sufficient evidence that more than 5% of this nation's children have genetic abnormalities.


(f) Do this study show that environmental chemicals cause congenital abnormalities?

his study does not address what causes the genetic abnormality.  


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