In: Statistics and Probability
It the 1980s, it was generally believed that congenital abnormalities affected about 7 % of a large nation's children. Some people believe that the increase in the number of chemicals in the environment has led to an increase in the incidence of abnormalities. A recent study examined 356 randomly selected children and found that 48 of them showed signs of an abnormality. Is this strong evidence that the risk has increased? (Consider a P-value of around 0.05 to represent reasonable evidence.) Complete parts a through f. a) Write appropriate hypotheses. Let p be the proportion of children with genetic abnormalities. b) Check the necessary assumptions. c) Perform the mechanics of the test. What is the test statistic? (Round to two decimal places as needed.) What is the P-value? (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
d) Explain what the P-value means in this context. Choose the correct answer below.
A.The P-value is the actual percentage of children who have genetic abnormalities.
B.The P-value is the chance of observing 48 or more children with genetic abnormalities in a random sample of 356 children.
C.The P-value is the chance of observing 7% of children with genetic abnormalities.
D.The P-value is the chance of observing 48 or more children with genetic abnormalities in a random sample of 356 children if 7% of children actually have genetic abnormalities.
e) What's your conclusion?
A.Reject H0. There is not sufficient evidence that more than 7% of the nation's children have genetic abnormalities.
B.Fail to reject H0. There is not sufficient evidence that more than 7% of the nation's children have genetic abnormalities.
C.Fail to reject H0. There is sufficient evidence that more than 7% of the nation's children have genetic abnormalities.
D.Reject H0. There is sufficient evidence that more than 7% of the nation's children have genetic abnormalities.
f) Do environmental chemicals cause congenital abnormalities?
A.It is unknown if environmental chemicals cause genetic abnormalities, because the hypothesis test does not indicate the cause of any changes.
B.Yes, the conclusion of the hypothesis test shows that environmental chemicals cause genetic abnormalities.
C.No, the conclusion of the hypothesis test shows that environmental chemicals do not cause genetic abnormalities.
b)here as np>5 and n(!-p)>5 ; sample is random therefore we can use normal approximation of binomial distribution
c)test statistic z=4.79
p value =0.0000
d)D.The P-value is the chance of observing 48 or more children with genetic abnormalities in a random sample of 356 children if 7% of children actually have genetic abnormalities.
e)D.Reject H0. There is sufficient evidence that more than 7% of the nation's children have genetic abnormalities.
f)
A.It is unknown if environmental chemicals cause genetic abnormalities, because the hypothesis test does not indicate the cause of any changes.