In: Economics
Demand can be estimated with experimental data, time-series data, or cross-section data. In this case, cross-section data appear in the Excel file. Soft drink consumption in cans per capita per year is related to six-pack price, income per capita, and mean temperature across the 48 contiguous states in the United States.
TABLE 1. SOFT DRINK DEMAND DATA | ||||
State | Cans/Capita/Yr | 6-Pack Price ($) | Income/Capita ($1,000) | Mean Temp. (F) |
Alabama | 200 | 3.19 | 35.1 | 66 |
Arizona | 150 | 2.99 | 45.9 | 62 |
Arkansas | 237 | 2.93 | 29.7 | 63 |
California | 135 | 3.59 | 67.5 | 56 |
Colorado | 121 | 3.29 | 51.3 | 52 |
Connecticut | 118 | 3.49 | 72.9 | 50 |
Delaware | 217 | 2.99 | 75.6 | 52 |
Florida | 242 | 3.29 | 48.6 | 72 |
Georgia | 295 | 2.89 | 37.8 | 64 |
Idaho | 85 | 3.39 | 43.2 | 46 |
Illinois | 114 | 3.35 | 64.8 | 52 |
Indiana | 184 | 3.19 | 54 | 52 |
Iowa | 104 | 3.21 | 43.2 | 50 |
Kansas | 143 | 3.17 | 45.9 | 56 |
Kentucky | 230 | 3.05 | 35.1 | 56 |
Louisiana | 269 | 2.97 | 40.5 | 69 |
Maine | 111 | 3.19 | 43.2 | 41 |
Maryland | 217 | 3.11 | 56.7 | 54 |
Massachusetts | 114 | 3.29 | 59.4 | 47 |
Michigan | 108 | 3.25 | 56.7 | 47 |
Minnesota | 108 | 3.31 | 48.6 | 41 |
Mississippi | 248 | 2.98 | 27 | 65 |
Missouri | 203 | 2.94 | 51.3 | 57 |
Montana | 77 | 3.31 | 51.3 | 44 |
Nebraska | 97 | 3.28 | 43.2 | 49 |
Nevada | 166 | 3.19 | 64.8 | 48 |
New Hampshire | 177 | 3.27 | 48.6 | 35 |
New Jersey | 143 | 3.31 | 64.8 | 54 |
New Mexico | 157 | 3.17 | 40.5 | 56 |
New York | 111 | 3.43 | 67.5 | 48 |
North Carolina | 330 | 2.89 | 35.1 | 59 |
North Dakota | 63 | 3.33 | 37.8 | 39 |
Ohio | 165 | 3.21 | 59.4 | 51 |
Oklahoma | 184 | 3.19 | 43.2 | 82 |
Oregon | 68 | 3.25 | 51.3 | 51 |
Pennsylvania | 121 | 3.31 | 54 | 50 |
Rhode Island | 138 | 3.23 | 54 | 50 |
South Carolina | 237 | 2.93 | 32.4 | 65 |
South Dakota | 95 | 3.34 | 35.1 | 45 |
Tennessee | 236 | 3.19 | 35.1 | 60 |
Texas | 222 | 3.08 | 45.9 | 69 |
Utah | 100 | 3.37 | 43.2 | 50 |
Vermont | 64 | 3.36 | 43.2 | 44 |
Virginia | 270 | 3.04 | 43.2 | 58 |
Washington | 77 | 3.19 | 54 | 49 |
West Virginia | 144 | 3.11 | 40.5 | 55 |
Wisconsin | 97 | 3.38 | 51.3 | 46 |
Wyoming | 102 | 3.31 | 51.3 | 46 |
QUESTIONS 1. Given the data, please construct the demand estimation for soft drink consumption in the United States by
(1) a multiple-linear regression equation and
(2) a log-linear (exponential) regression equation
2. Given the MS Excel output in Question 1, please compare the two regression equations’ coefficient of determination (R-square), F-test and t-test. Which equation is a good (better) fit? Which equation shows the stronger overall significance to predict the future demand? Which equation will you choose as a better estimation for quantity demanded? Which equation will you choose as a better estimation for elasticities? Explain your answer in the language of statistics.