In: Finance
Aspen Australia Pty Ltd is a fast-growing drug company. The company forecasts that in the next 3 years its growth rates will be 30 per cent, 28 per cent and 24 per cent, respectively. Last week it declared a dividend of $1.67. After 3 years, the company expects a more stable growth rate of 8 per cent for the next several years. The required rate of return is 14 per cent.
a Calculate the dividends for the next 3 years, and find its present value.
b Calculate the price of the share at the end of year 3, when the company settles to a constant growth rate.
c What is the current price of the share?
a
Required rate= | 14.00% | ||||||
Year | Previous year dividend | Dividend growth rate | Dividend current year | Total Value | Discount factor | Discounted value | |
1 | 1.67 | 30.00% | 2.171 | 2.171 | 1.14 | 1.9044 | |
2 | 2.171 | 28.00% | 2.77888 | 2.77888 | 1.2996 | 2.13826 | |
3 | 2.77888 | 24.00% | 3.4458112 | 3.4458112 | 1.481544 | 2.32582 | |
PV of dividends | Sum of discounted value = | 6.37 |
Where | |||
Current dividend =Previous year dividend*(1+growth rate)^corresponding year | |||
Total value = Dividend for the year | |||
Discount factor=(1+ Required rate)^corresponding period | |||
Discounted value=total value/discount factor |
b
Required rate= | 14.00% | ||||||
Year | Previous year dividend | Dividend growth rate | Dividend current year | Horizon b. value | Total Value | Discount factor | Discounted value |
1 | 1.67 | 30.00% | 2.171 | 2.171 | 1.14 | 1.9044 | |
2 | 2.171 | 28.00% | 2.77888 | 2.77888 | 1.2996 | 2.13826 | |
3 | 2.77888 | 24.00% | 3.4458112 | b. 62.025 | 65.4708112 | 1.481544 | 44.19093 |
Long term growth rate (given)= | 8.00% | c. Value of Stock = | Sum of discounted value = | 48.23 | |||
Where | |||||||
Current dividend =Previous year dividend*(1+growth rate)^corresponding year | |||||||
Total value = Dividend + horizon value (only for last year) | |||||||
Horizon value = Dividend Current year 3 *(1+long term growth rate)/( Required rate-long term growth rate) | |||||||
Discount factor=(1+ Required rate)^corresponding period | |||||||
Discounted value=total value/discount factor |