In: Statistics and Probability
According to a study, the median time a patient waits to see a doctor in an emergency room is 30 minutes. Consider an emergency room on a day when 150 patients visit.
a.What is the probability that more than half will wait more than 30 minutes?
b.What is the probability that more than 80 will wait more than 30 minutes?
c.What is the probability that more than 60 but less than 90 will wait more than 30 minutes?
probability a patient waits more than 30 minutes:
P(X>30)=1-P(X<30)=1-(1-exp(-30/30))=0.3679 |
here for binomial distribution parameter n=150 and p=0.3679 |
mean of distribution=μ=np= | 55.1850 | |||
and standard deviation σ=sqrt(np(1-p))= | 5.9061 | |||
for normal distribution z score =(X-μ)/σx | ||||
since np and n(1-p) both are greater than 5, we can use normal approximation of binomial distribution | ||||
therefore from normal approximation of binomial distribution and continuity correction: |
a)
probability that more than half will wait more than 30 minutes :
probability =P(X>75.5)=P(Z>(75.5-55.185)/5.906)=P(Z>3.44)=1-P(Z<3.44)=1-0.9997=0.0003 |
b)
probability that more than 80 will wait more than 30 minutes :
probability =P(X>80.5)=P(Z>(80.5-55.185)/5.906)=P(Z>4.29)=1-P(Z<4.29)=1-1.0000=0.0000 |
c) probability that more than 60 but less than 90 will wait more than 30 minutes :
probability =P(60.5<X<89.5)=P((60.5-55.185)/5.906)<Z<(89.5-55.185)/5.906)=P(0.9<Z<5.81)=1-0.8159=0.1841 |