In: Finance
Fincher Manufacturing has projected sales of $147 million next year. Costs are expected to be $82 million and net investment is expected to be $16 million. Each of these values is expected to grow at 15 percent the following year, with the growth rate declining by 2 percent per year until the growth rate reaches 7 percent, where it is expected to remain indefinitely. There are 6.5 million shares of stock outstanding and investors require a return of 14 percent return on the company’s stock. The corporate tax rate is 35 percent. |
A.
What is your estimate of the current stock price? |
B.
Suppose instead that you estimate the terminal value of the company using a PE multiple. The industry PE multiple is 13. What is your new estimate of the company’s stock price? |
(A)
(B) Total PV of non-perpetual FCFs = P1 = $ 113.133 million
Terminal Value using a PE Ratio of 13 = Year 6 NOPAT x PE Multiple = 71.07817 x 13 = $ 924.0162 million
PV of Terminal Value = PV(T) = 924.0162 / (1.14)^(5) = $ 479.905 million
Therefore, Total Intrinsic Value = PV(T) + P1 = 479.905 + 113.133 = $ 593.038 million
Total Shares Outstanding = N = 6.5 million
Company Stock Price = 593.038 / 6.5 = $ 91.237 approximately