In: Finance
Eberhart Manufacturing has projected sales of $145.8 million next year. Costs are expected to be $81.4 million and net investment is expected to be $15.4 million. Each of these valued is expected to grow at 15 percent the following year, with the growth rate declining by 2 percent per year until the growth rate reaches 7 percent, where it is expected to remain indefinitely. There are 5.9 million shares of stock outstanding and investors require a return of 14 percent return on the company's stock. The corporate tax rate is 38 percent. (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places( e.g. 32.16))
a. What is your estimate of the current stock price?
b. Suppose instead that you estimate the terminal value of the company using a PE multiple. The industry PE multiple is 14. What is your new estimate of the company's stock price?
Solutions:
Cost of Equity(Ke)=14%
Calculation of Earning per share at year1 (EPS1)
Sales =$145.8 million
Less:Cost of sales =$81.40 million
Earning before tax =$64.40 million
Less:Tax@38% =$24.472million
Earning available for equity(a)=$39.928 million
No. of shares(b) =5.9 million
EPS1=a/b
=$39.928 million/5.9 million
=$6.7675
=$6.77
Statement showing EPS
Particulrs | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 |
Growth Rate | - | 15% | 13% | 11% | 09% | 07% |
EPS | 6.77 | 7.78 | 8.79 | 9.76 | 10.64 | 11.38 |
Now,we have to calculate terminal value at yera end 5(TV4) becuase after year 5 growth rate is constant
TV4=EPS6/(Ke-Growth rate)
=11.38/(.14-.07)
=11.38/.07
=$162.57
Now, we have to calculate the present value of all EPS to know the current stock price
Year | EPS(a) | PVIF@14%(b) | Present Value(a*b) |
1 | 6.77 | .877 | 5.93729 |
2 | 7.78 | .769 | 5.98282 |
3 | 8.79 | .675 | 5.93325 |
4 | 9.76 | .592 | 5.77792 |
5 | 10.64 | .519 | 5.52216 |
TV5 | 162.57 | .519 | 84.37383 |
Value of Stock | $113.52727 |
THus the value of stock is $113.53
B) P/E multiple=Value of share/EPS
thus termianl value at year end 6 using P/E multiple will be
=14*$11.38
=$159.32
Staement showing calculation of value of stock
Year | EPS(a) | PVIF@14%(b) | Present Value(a*b) |
1 | 6.77 | .877 | 5.93729 |
2 | 7.78 | .769 | 5.98282 |
3 | 8.79 | .675 | 5.93325 |
4 | 9.76 | .592 | 5.77792 |
5 | 10.64 | .519 | 5.52216 |
6(TV) | 159.32 | .456 | 72.64992 |
Value of Stock | 101.80336 |
Thus the value of stock is $101.80