In: Finance
Fincher Manufacturing has projected sales of $147.2 million next year. Costs are expected to be $82.1 million and net investment is expected to be $16.1 million. Each of these values is expected to grow at 16 percent the following year, with the growth rate declining by 2 percent per year until the growth rate reaches 8 percent, where it is expected to remain indefinitely. There are 6.6 million shares of stock outstanding and investors require a return of 15 percent return on the company’s stock. The corporate tax rate is 40 percent. a. What is your estimate of the current stock price? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) Calculate Share price in $ b. Suppose instead that you estimate the terminal value of the company using a PE multiple. The industry PE multiple is 10. What is your new estimate of the company’s stock price? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) Calculate Share price in $
a) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6>>>>>> | |
Sales | 147.20 | ||||||
Costs | 82.10 | ||||||
EBIT | 65.10 | ||||||
Tax at 40% | 26.04 | ||||||
NOPAT | 39.06 | 45.31 | 51.65 | 57.85 | 63.64 | ||
Less: Net investment | 16.10 | ||||||
FCFF | 22.96 | ||||||
Growth rate in FCFF | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | ||
Expected FCFF | 22.96 | 26.63 | 30.36 | 34.01 | 37.41 | 40.40 | |
PVIF at 15% | 0.86957 | 0.75614 | 0.65752 | 0.57175 | 0.49718 | ||
PV of FCF at 15% | 19.97 | 20.14 | 19.96 | 19.44 | 18.60 | ||
Sum of PVs of FCFF t1 to t5 | 98.11 | ||||||
Terminal value of FCFF = 40.40/(0.15-0.08) = | 577.14 | ||||||
PV of terminal value = 577.14*0.49718 = | 286.94 | ||||||
Value of the firm = 98.11+286.94 = | 385.05 | ||||||
Number of shares outstanding | 6.60 | ||||||
Share price | $58.34 | ||||||
b) | Sum of PVs of FCFF t1 to t5 | 98.11 | |||||
Terminal value based on PE multiple of 10 = 63.64*10 = | 636.40 | ||||||
PV of terminal value = 636.40*0.49718 = | 316.40 | ||||||
Value of the firm = 98.11+316.40 = | 414.51 | ||||||
Number of shares outstanding | 6.60 | ||||||
Share price | $62.80 |