In: Finance
You are thinking about buying a bond and you want to consider your interest rate exposure. The bond in question is a semiannual note issued by Bank of America that has a $1,000 face value, four years left until maturity and pays a coupon rate of 5.265%. It is currently yielding 6.724%. Because of a slowing economy, you expect a 60 basis point parallel downward shift in the yield after the next Fed meeting. Calculate the following:
Price, duration, modified duration and convexity (manually, though you can confirm your answers using the Excel functions or one of the online calculators).
the approximate dollar and percentage change in price due to duration and convexity
the actual dollar and percentage change in price
Soln : Face Value = $1000, Semi annual coupon rate = 5.265% = 5.265*1000/100 = 52.65, Current yield = 6.724%, Time to maturity = 4 years
Let P be the price, then P = (52.65/2)/(1+6.724%/2)1 + (52.65/2)/(1+6.724%/2)2 + ....+(52.65/2)/(1+6.724%/2)8 + 1000/(1+6.724%/2)8
On solving this we get , P = $949.56
Now, we need to calculate the duration or we can say Maculay duration:
Duration = Here, wt = CFt/(1+r)t /Bond price , please refer the table :
t | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Y = CF/(1+r)^t | 25.47 | 24.64 | 23.84 | 23.06 | 22.31 | 21.59 | 20.89 | 787.77 |
w= Y/P | 0.0268 | 0.0259 | 0.0251 | 0.0243 | 0.0235 | 0.0227 | 0.0220 | 0.8296 |
Price, P | 949.56 | |||||||
t*w | 0.0268 | 0.0519 | 0.0753 | 0.0972 | 0.1175 | 0.1364 | 0.1540 | 6.6369 |
Total | 7.2959 |
Duration, D = 7.30
Modified duration = - D/(1+r/2) = -7.30 /(1+6.724%/2) = 7.059
Convexity =
Please refer this table here :
X = t^2+t | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 30 | 42 | 56 | 72 |
X*Y | 50.937 | 147.842 | 286.066 | 461.270 | 669.399 | 906.676 | 1169.580 | 56719.210 |
Convexity = 60410.981/949.56*(1+0.034)2 = 59.55
Now change in price = P*(-modified duration*0.60% + 0.6%2/2 *convexity) = $1.052
Percentage change = 0.11%