Question

1) The vacancy created by the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg has injected a Supreme Court nomination and likely confirmation hearings into the final weeks of the tight battle between the parties to become the majority in the U.S. Senate.

How do questions such as whether the nomination should be made by the winner of the November election, the ideology of the nominee, Amy Coney Barrett, and the potential that the vote could occur in a lame-duck session of Congress may impact the Senate elections?

Answer 1

The shock of a sudden new vacancy on the US supreme court has rippled out to some of the most contentious Senate races in the final weeks before the 3 november elections, throwing the vital issue of who might win control of the body into confusion. In a SurveyMonkey/ Insider poll conducted immediately after Ginsburg's death, only 5% of registered voters said the vacant seat made them less certain of their vote. However , the Senate - where Democrates have a 60 in 100chance of taking control - may be a different story. Several vulnerable members of that chamber are now faced with the politicaly difficult choice of whether to vote to confirm Trump's Supreme court nominee. the effect that development could have on the Senate race are still unknown but one plausible theory is that the supreme court vacancy will make partisanship - as expressed by a person's presidential vote- an even more important consideration. if the theory that the Supreme courtfight will increase partisan polarization is coreect, Democrats stand to gain in some races while republicans stand to gain in others. But its entirely possible that Ginsburg's death won't change the odds of Senate control that much.