In: Finance
Project the Cash Flows for Wal Mart for the next 5 years with explanations for your forecasts: Growth rate for 2018 is 10%, 2019 is 11%, 2020 is 5.5%, 2021 is 5% and 2022 is 4%.
Actuals | Forecasts | ||||||||
Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | |
Cash Flows | |||||||||
Operating: | |||||||||
Income from continuing operations | 16,814 | 15,080 | 14,293 | ||||||
- common size | 58.9% | 55.1% | 45.3% | ||||||
- rate of change | -10.3% | -5.2% | |||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 9,173 | 9,454 | 10,080 | ||||||
- common size | 32.1% | 34.5% | 32.0% | ||||||
- rate of change | 3.1% | ||||||||
Deferred Income Taxes | -503 | -672 | 761 | ||||||
- common size | -1.8% | -2.5% | 2.4% | ||||||
- rate of change | 33.6% | -213.2% | |||||||
Other operating activites | 785 | 1,410 | 206 | ||||||
- common size | 2.7% | 5.1% | 0.7% | ||||||
- rate of change | 79.6% | -85.4% | |||||||
Recievables, net | -569 | -19 | -402 | ||||||
- common size | -2.0% | -0.1% | -1.3% | ||||||
- rate of change | -96.7% | 2015.8% | |||||||
Inventories | -1,229 | -703 | 1,021 | ||||||
- common size | -4.3% | -2.6% | 3.2% | ||||||
- rate of change | -42.8% | -245.2% | |||||||
Accounts Payable | 2,678 | 2,008 | 3,942 | ||||||
- common size | 9.4% | 7.3% | 12.5% | ||||||
- rate of change | -25.0% | 96.3% | |||||||
Accrued liabilities | 1,249 | 1,303 | 1,137 | ||||||
- common size | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | ||||||
- rate of change | 4.3% | -12.7% | |||||||
Accrued Income Taxes | 166 | -472 | 492 | ||||||
- common size | 0.6% | -1.7% | 1.6% | ||||||
- rate of change | -384.3% | -204.2% | |||||||
Net Cash Provided by operating act. | 28,564 | 27,389 | 31,530 | ||||||
- common size | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
- rate of change | -4.1% | 15.1% | |||||||
Investing: | |||||||||
Payments for Property and Equipment | -12,174 | -11,477 | -10,619 | ||||||
- common size | 109.4% | 107.5% | 75.9% | ||||||
- rate of change | -5.7% | -7.5% | |||||||
Proceeds from disposal of property and equipment | 570 | 635 | 456 | ||||||
- common size | -5.1% | -5.9% | -3.3% | ||||||
- rate of change | 11.4% | -28.2% | |||||||
Proceeds from disposal of certain operations | 671 | 246 | 662 | ||||||
- common size | -6.0% | -2.3% | -4.7% | ||||||
- rate of change | -63.3% | 169.1% | |||||||
Purchase of available for sale securities | 0 | 0 | -1,901 | ||||||
- common size | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | ||||||
- rate of change | |||||||||
Investment and business acquisitions, net | 0 | 0 | -2,463 | ||||||
- common size | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.6% | ||||||
- rate of change | |||||||||
Other investing activities | -192 | -79 | -122 | ||||||
- common size | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | ||||||
- rate of change | -58.9% | 54.4% | |||||||
Net Cash used in investing | -11,125.00 | -10,675.00 | -13,987.00 | ||||||
- common size | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||||
- rate of change | -4.0% | 31.0% | |||||||
Financing: | |||||||||
Net Change in short-term borrowing | -6,288 | 1,235 | -1,673 | ||||||
- common size | 41.7% | -7.7% | 8.8% | ||||||
- rate of change | -119.6% | -235.5% | |||||||
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt | 5,174 | 39 | 137 | ||||||
- common size | -34.3% | -0.2% | -0.7% | ||||||
- rate of change | -99.2% | 251.3% | |||||||
Payments of long-term debt | -3,904 | -4,432 | -2,055 | ||||||
- common size | 25.9% | 27.5% | 10.9% | ||||||
- rate of change | 13.5% | -53.6% | |||||||
Dividends paid | -6185 | -6294 | -6216 | ||||||
- common size | 41.0% | 39.0% | 32.8% | ||||||
- rate of change | 1.8% | -1.2% | |||||||
Purchase of Company Stock | -1,015 | -4,112 | -8,298 | ||||||
- common size | 6.7% | 25.5% | 43.8% | ||||||
- rate of change | 305.1% | 101.8% | |||||||
Dividends paid to noncontrolling interest | -600 | -719 | -479 | ||||||
- common size | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | ||||||
- rate of change | 19.8% | -33.4% | |||||||
Purchase of noncontrolling interest | -1,844 | -1,326 | -90 | ||||||
- common size | 12.2% | 8.2% | 0.5% | ||||||
- rate of change | -28.1% | -93.2% | |||||||
Other financing activities | -409 | -513 | -255 | ||||||
- common size | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | ||||||
- rate of change | 25.4% | -50.3% | |||||||
Net cash used in financing | -15,071 | -16,122 | -18,929 | ||||||
- common size | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
- rate of change | 7.0% | 17.4% |
Please find the below table along with the description in remarks column.
Actuals | Forecasts | |||||||||||
Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | Remark | |||
Cash Flows | ||||||||||||
Operating: | ||||||||||||
Income from continuing operations | 16,814 | 15,080 | 14,293 | 15722.3 | 17451.753 | 18411.59942 | 19332.17939 | 20105.46656 | ||||
Depreciation and amortization | 9,173 | 9,454 | 10,080 | 10390.6322 | 10710.8371 | 11040.90968 | 11381.15398 | 11731.88348 | Average has been taken for the depriciation, as it will not change much | |||
Deferred Income Taxes | -503 | -672 | 761 | 761 | 761 | 761 | 761 | 761 | Keep it constant | |||
Other operating activites | 785 | 1,410 | 206 | 0.051533753 | 810.229131 | 899.354336 | 948.818824 | 996.2597652 | 1036.110156 | Avrerage of previous operating activities | ||
Recievables, net | -569 | -19 | -402 | -0.02107548 | -330.1683 | -366.486813 | -386.643588 | -405.975767 | -422.214798 | It is an average of previous 3 years (2.1%) | ||
Inventories | -1,229 | -703 | 1,021 | -0.01931439 | 1,021 | 1,021 | 1,021 | 1,021 | 1,021 | |||
Accounts Payable | 2,678 | 2,008 | 3,942 | 3144.46 | 3490.3506 | 3682.319883 | 3866.435877 | 4021.093312 | 20% average | |||
Accrued liabilities | 1,249 | 1,303 | 1,137 | 1572.23 | 1745.1753 | 1841.159942 | 1933.217939 | 2010.546656 | 10% average | |||
Accrued Income Taxes | 166 | -472 | 492 | 492 | 492 | 492 | 492 | 492 | Keep it constant | |||
Net Cash Provided by operating act. | 28,564 | 27,389 | 31,530 | 33583.6831 | 36204.9836 | 37812.16416 | 39377.27118 | 40756.88536 | ||||
Investing: | ||||||||||||
Payments for Property and Equipment | -12,174 | -11,477 | -10,619 | -10,619 | -10,619 | -10,619 | -10,619 | -10,619 | Constant payment for PP&E | |||
Proceeds from disposal of property and equipment | 570 | 635 | 456 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | We believe disposal will not happen generally | |||
Proceeds from disposal of certain operations | 671 | 246 | 662 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | This is not repetative | |||
Purchase of available for sale securities | 0 | 0 | -1,901 | -2091.1 | -2321.121 | -2448.78266 | -2571.22179 | -2674.07066 | As the sale increased company will buy more securities so we will take it equivalent to growth rate | |||
Investment and business acquisitions, net | 0 | 0 | -2,463 | -2709.3 | -3007.323 | -3172.72577 | -3331.36205 | -3464.61654 | As the sale increased company will do more investment so we will take it equivalent to growth rate | |||
Other investing activities | -192 | -79 | -122 | -122 | -122 | -122 | -122 | -122 | Kept constant | |||
Net Cash used in investing | -11,125.00 | -10,675.00 | -13,987.00 | -15541.4 | -16069.444 | -16362.5084 | -16643.5838 | -16879.6872 | ||||
- common size | 100% | 100% | 100% | |||||||||
- rate of change | -4.00% | 31.00% | 11.11% | 3.40% | 1.82% | 1.72% | 1.42% | |||||
Financing: | ||||||||||||
Net Change in short-term borrowing | -6,288 | 1,235 | -1,673 | -1840.3 | -2042.733 | -2155.08332 | -2262.83748 | -2353.35098 | As the sale increased company will take more short term borrowing so we will take it equivalent to growth rate | |||
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt | 5,174 | 39 | 137 | 6288.92 | 62.8892 | 62.8892 | 62.8892 | 62.8892 | As the sale increased company will take debt (40%) initially and after that 10% | |||
Payments of long-term debt | -3,904 | -4,432 | -2,055 | -3773.352 | -3018.6816 | -1509.3408 | -754.6704 | -377.3352 | First 60%, and after that 80 then 50%. | |||
Dividends paid | -6185 | -6294 | -6216 | 0.4 | -6288.92 | -6980.7012 | -7364.63977 | -7732.87175 | -8042.18662 | It is 40% of income | ||
Purchase of Company Stock | -1,015 | -4,112 | -8,298 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | It will be taken as 0. | |||
Dividends paid to noncontrolling interest | -600 | -719 | -479 | -628.892 | -698.07012 | -736.463977 | -773.287175 | -804.218662 | It is 4% of Income | |||
Purchase of noncontrolling interest | -1,844 | -1,326 | -90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
Other financing activities | -409 | -513 | -255 | -280.5 | -311.355 | -328.479525 | -344.903501 | -358.699641 | As the sale increased company will buy more securities & do financial activity so we will take it equivalent to growth rate | |||
Net cash used in financing | -15,071 | -16,122 | -18,929 | -6523.044 | -12988.6517 | -12031.1182 | -11805.6811 | -11872.9019 |
Thank You!!