In: Statistics and Probability
The nonprofit group Public Agenda conducted telephone interviews with a stratified sample of parents of high school children. There were 202 black parent, 202 Hispanic parents, and 201 white parents. ONe question asked was, “Are the high schools in your state doing an excellent, good, fair, or poor job, or you don’t know enough to say?” Here are the survey results:
Black | Hispanic | White | Total | |
Excellent | 12 | 34 | 22 | 68 |
Good | 69 | 55 | 81 | 205 |
Fair | 75 | 61 | 60 | 196 |
Poor | 24 | 24 | 24 | 72 |
Don't Know | 22 | 28 | 14 | 64 |
Total | 202 | 202 | 201 | 605 |
(a) Give a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of families who think that the high schools are doing a “poor” job.
(b) You are interested in determining if the ratings of the schools differ among the sets of parents. Would you use a Chi-Square test of Independence or Homogeneity? Justify your answer.
(c) Use Crunchit to perform the Chi-Square test of significance. Report your findings.
Please Show all work.
a)
Level of Significance, α =
0.05
Number of Items of Interest, x =
72
Sample Size, n = 605
Sample Proportion , p̂ = x/n =
0.1190
z -value = Zα/2 = 1.960 [excel
formula =NORMSINV(α/2)]
Standard Error , SE = √[p̂(1-p̂)/n] =
0.013164
margin of error , E = Z*SE = 1.960
* 0.01316 = 0.0258
95% Confidence Interval is
Interval Lower Limit = p̂ - E = 0.11901
- 0.02580 = 0.09321
Interval Upper Limit = p̂ + E = 0.11901
+ 0.02580 = 0.14481
95% confidence interval is (
0.093 < p < 0.145
)
b)
Chi-Square Test of independence | |||||||
Observed Frequencies | |||||||
0 | |||||||
0 | Black | Hispanic | White | Total | |||
Excellent | 12 | 34 | 22 | 68 | |||
Good | 69 | 55 | 81 | 205 | |||
Fair | 75 | 61 | 60 | 196 | |||
Poor | 24 | 24 | 24 | 72 | |||
Don't Know | 22 | 28 | 14 | 64 | |||
Total | 202 | 202 | 201 | 605 | |||
Expected frequency of a cell = sum of row*sum of column / total sum | |||||||
Expected Frequencies | |||||||
Black | Hispanic | White | Total | ||||
Excellent | 202*68/605=22.704 | 202*68/605=22.704 | 201*68/605=22.592 | 68 | |||
Good | 202*205/605=68.446 | 202*205/605=68.446 | 201*205/605=68.107 | 205 | |||
Fair | 202*196/605=65.441 | 202*196/605=65.441 | 201*196/605=65.117 | 196 | |||
Poor | 202*72/605=24.04 | 202*72/605=24.04 | 201*72/605=23.921 | 72 | |||
Don't Know | 202*64/605=21.369 | 202*64/605=21.369 | 201*64/605=21.263 | 64 | |||
Total | 202 | 202 | 201 | 605 | |||
(fo-fe)^2/fe | |||||||
Excellent | 5.0466 | 5.6200 | 0.015 | ||||
Good | 0.0045 | 2.6415 | 2.441 | ||||
Fair | 1.3962 | 0.3014 | 0.4022 | ||||
Poor | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0003 | ||||
Don't Know | 0.0187 | 2.0580 | 2.4808 |
Chi-Square Test Statistic,χ² = Σ(fo-fe)^2/fe =
22.426
Level of Significance = 0.05
Number of Rows = 5
Number of Columns = 3
Degrees of Freedom=(#row - 1)(#column -1) = (5- 1 ) * ( 3- 1 )
= 8
p-Value = 0.0041847 [Excel function:
=CHISQ.DIST.RT(χ²,df) ]
Decision: p-value < α , Reject Ho
there is enough evidence that the ratings of the schools differ
among the sets of parent