Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The nonprofit group Public Agenda conducted telephone interviews with a stratified sample of parents of high...

The nonprofit group Public Agenda conducted telephone interviews with a stratified sample of parents of high school children. There were 202 black parent, 202 Hispanic parents, and 201 white parents. ONe question asked was, “Are the high schools in your state doing an excellent, good, fair, or poor job, or you don’t know enough to say?” Here are the survey results:

Black Hispanic White Total
Excellent 12 34 22 68
Good 69 55 81 205
Fair 75 61 60 196
Poor 24 24 24 72
Don't Know 22 28 14 64
Total 202 202 201 605

(a) Give a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of families who think that the high schools are doing a “poor” job.

(b) You are interested in determining if the ratings of the schools differ among the sets of parents. Would you use a Chi-Square test of Independence or Homogeneity? Justify your answer.

(c) Use Crunchit to perform the Chi-Square test of significance. Report your findings.

Please Show all work.

Solutions

Expert Solution

a)

Level of Significance,   α =    0.05          
Number of Items of Interest,   x =   72          
Sample Size,   n =    605          
                  
Sample Proportion ,    p̂ = x/n =    0.1190          
z -value =   Zα/2 =    1.960   [excel formula =NORMSINV(α/2)]      
                  
Standard Error ,    SE = √[p̂(1-p̂)/n] =    0.013164          
margin of error , E = Z*SE =    1.960   *   0.01316   =   0.0258
                  
95%   Confidence Interval is              
Interval Lower Limit = p̂ - E =    0.11901   -   0.02580   =   0.09321
Interval Upper Limit = p̂ + E =   0.11901   +   0.02580   =   0.14481
                  
95%   confidence interval is (   0.093   < p <    0.145   )

b)

Chi-Square Test of independence
Observed Frequencies
0
0 Black Hispanic White Total
Excellent 12 34 22 68
Good 69 55 81 205
Fair 75 61 60 196
Poor 24 24 24 72
Don't Know 22 28 14 64
Total 202 202 201 605
Expected frequency of a cell = sum of row*sum of column / total sum
Expected Frequencies
Black Hispanic White Total
Excellent 202*68/605=22.704 202*68/605=22.704 201*68/605=22.592 68
Good 202*205/605=68.446 202*205/605=68.446 201*205/605=68.107 205
Fair 202*196/605=65.441 202*196/605=65.441 201*196/605=65.117 196
Poor 202*72/605=24.04 202*72/605=24.04 201*72/605=23.921 72
Don't Know 202*64/605=21.369 202*64/605=21.369 201*64/605=21.263 64
Total 202 202 201 605
(fo-fe)^2/fe
Excellent 5.0466 5.6200 0.015
Good 0.0045 2.6415 2.441
Fair 1.3962 0.3014 0.4022
Poor 0.0001 0.0001 0.0003
Don't Know 0.0187 2.0580 2.4808

Chi-Square Test Statistic,χ² = Σ(fo-fe)^2/fe =   22.426  
      
Level of Significance =   0.05  
Number of Rows =   5  
Number of Columns =   3  
Degrees of Freedom=(#row - 1)(#column -1) = (5- 1 ) * ( 3- 1 ) =   8  
      
p-Value =   0.0041847   [Excel function: =CHISQ.DIST.RT(χ²,df) ]
Decision:    p-value < α , Reject Ho  
there is enough evidence that the ratings of the schools differ among the sets of parent


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