In: Finance
A U.S.-based firm is considering a five- year project in
Colombia. The following information is available about the project:
Initial investment. The initial investment of USD 750,000 is used
to purchase capital equipment. This equipment will be depreciated
straight line to zero. At the end of five years, the remaining
equipment will be sold for Colombian Peso (COP) 12,000,000. Working
capital. The investment in working capital is COP 180,000,000.
There are no changes in working capital until the end of the
project when the full amount is recovered. Units, price, and costs.
The firm will produce 1750 units of a product annually. The selling
price is expected to be COP 599000 in the first year. This price is
expected to increase at a rate of 3 percent annually. The direct
expense per unit is expected to be COP 240000 in the first year.
This is expected to increase at a rate of 7 percent annually.
Indirect expenses are expected to be COP 75,000,000 annually. Taxes
and miscellaneous. Colombian taxes on income and capital gains are
33 percent. There are no additional withholding taxes. All cash
flows are repatriated when generated, and there are no additional
U.S. taxes. The parity conditions are assumed to hold between
Colombia and the United States. The
FINC 6367 – International finance Excel Homework Page 2
relevant inflation indexes indicate a rate of 2.5 percent for the
United States and 6 percent for Colombia. Spot USDCOP equals 2900.
Brady’s USD denominated WACC is 12.5 percent.
a. Calculate COP cash flows.
b. What is the appropriate COP discount rate? Calculate the project NPV.
c. Use parity conditions to generate future spot rates. Calculate the project NPV in USD.
d. Calculate break- even units.
e. Now assume that the COP rate of annual depreciation doesn’t follow parity conditions. What is the break- even rate of depreciation in COP? Assuming the USD inflation is unchanged, what is the COP inflation rate consistent with this break- even depreciation?
(All figures in COP) | ||||||||
(Conversion Rate 1USD = 2782 COP) | ||||||||
Period | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
Investment | 21750,00,000 | |||||||
Profit & Loss Account | ||||||||
Revenue | 10325,00,000 | 10634,75,000 | 10953,79,250 | 11282,40,628 | 11620,87,846 | |||
Less : Direct Expenses | 4200,00,000 | 4494,00,000 | 4808,58,000 | 5145,18,060 | 5505,34,324 | |||
Less : Indirect Expenses | 750,00,000 | 750,00,000 | 750,00,000 | 750,00,000 | 750,00,000 | |||
Gross Profit | 5375,00,000 | 5390,75,000 | 5395,21,250 | 5387,22,568 | 5365,53,522 | |||
Less : Depreciation | 4350,00,000 | 4350,00,000 | 4350,00,000 | 4350,00,000 | 4350,00,000 | |||
PBT | 1025,00,000 | 1040,75,000 | 1045,21,250 | 1037,22,568 | 1015,53,522 | |||
Less : Taxes | 338,25,000 | 343,44,750 | 344,92,013 | 342,28,447 | 335,12,662 | |||
PAT | 686,75,000 | 697,30,250 | 700,29,238 | 694,94,120 | 680,40,860 | |||
a | Cash Flows | |||||||
Period | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
Outflows | ||||||||
Investment | 21750,00,000 | |||||||
Tax | - | 338,25,000 | 343,44,750 | 344,92,013 | 342,28,447 | 335,12,662 | ||
Working Capital | 1800,00,000 | -1800,00,000 | ||||||
Total Cash Outflows | 21750,00,000 | 2138,25,000 | 343,44,750 | 344,92,013 | 342,28,447 | -1464,87,338 | ||
Inflows | ||||||||
Salvage Value | 120,00,000 | |||||||
PAT | 686,75,000 | 697,30,250 | 700,29,238 | 694,94,120 | 680,40,860 | |||
Add : Depreciation | 4350,00,000 | 4350,00,000 | 4350,00,000 | 4350,00,000 | 4350,00,000 | |||
Total Cash Inflows | - | 5036,75,000 | 5047,30,250 | 5050,29,238 | 5044,94,120 | 5150,40,860 | ||
Net Inflows | -21750,00,000 | 2898,50,000 | 4703,85,500 | 4705,37,225 | 4702,65,673 | 6615,28,198 | ||
b | NPV (In COP) | |||||||
Discount Factor = (1+WACC)/(1+Inflation) = (1.125/1.06) | ||||||||
Disc factor = | 1.061320755 | |||||||
NPV (@ 1.06132 as discount factor) | ||||||||
-8859,06,346 | COP | |||||||
c | NPV (in USD) | |||||||
Discount Factor = (1+WACC)/(1+Inflation) = (1.125/1.06) | ||||||||
Disc Factor = | 1.097560976 | |||||||
NPV (@ 1.09756 as discount factor) | ||||||||
-8764,14,551 | USD | |||||||
d | Break Even Sales | |||||||
At Break Even PBT = 0 | ||||||||
Contribution margin = Sales - Variable Expenses | ||||||||
= | 599000-240000 | |||||||
Fixed expenses | 750,00,000 | |||||||
Depreciation | 4350,00,000 | |||||||
1420.612813 | ||||||||
At Break Even , Contribution Margin = Fixed Expenses + Depreciation | ||||||||
(599000-240000)*n = 75000000+435000000 | ||||||||
n = 1420 |
Disc Factor = |