Question

In: Economics

Use the information below to produce the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast assuming Alpha=0.1.


Use the information below to produce the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast assuming Alpha=0.1. Enter period 4's forecasted value below. The initialization value for period 1 is given as the actual value for period 1. Round your answer to two decimal places (e.g., 1.23).

Alpha=0.1

Period

X

SES
19.29.2
28.3
38.1
4
?

Solutions

Expert Solution

Exponential smoothing forecasting for current period = (At-1* alpha)+(Ft-1 *(1-alpha)

Alpha = 0.1

Period X SES
1 9.2 9.2
2 8.3 =(9.2*0.1)+(9.2*(1-0.1))
3 8.1 =(8.2*0.1)+(9.2*(1-0.1))
4 =(8.1*0.1)+(C4*(1-0.1))
Period X SES
1 9.2 9.2
2 8.3 9.2
3 8.1 9.1
4 9

Answer

Period X SES
1 9.2 9.2
2 8.3
3 8.1
4 9

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