In: Economics
Use the information below to produce the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast assuming Alpha=0.3. Enter period 4's forecasted value below. The initialization value for period 1 is given as the actual value for period 1. Round your answer to two decimal places (e.g., 1.23).
Alpha=0.3
Period | X | SES |
1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
2 | 7.9 | |
3 | 1.5 | |
4 | ? |
Simple exponential smoothing forecast
Period | X | SES |
1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
2 | 7.9 | =(1.4*0.3)+(1.4*(1-0.3)) |
3 | 1.5 | =(7.9*0.3)+(1.4*(1-0.3)) |
4 | =(1.5*0.3)+(3.35*(1-0.3)) |
Period | X | SES |
1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
2 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
3 | 1.5 | 3.35 |
4 | 2.795 |
Period | X | SES |
1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
2 | 7.9 | |
3 | 1.5 | |
4 | 2.8 |