Question

In: Economics

Use the information below to produce the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast assuming Alpha=0.3

Use the information below to produce the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast assuming Alpha=0.3. Enter period 4's forecasted value below. The initialization value for period 1 is given as the actual value for period 1. Round your answer to two decimal places (e.g., 1.23).

Alpha=0.3

Period

X

SES
11.41.4
27.9
31.5
4
?



Solutions

Expert Solution

Simple exponential smoothing forecast

Period X SES
1 1.4 1.4
2 7.9 =(1.4*0.3)+(1.4*(1-0.3))
3 1.5 =(7.9*0.3)+(1.4*(1-0.3))
4 =(1.5*0.3)+(3.35*(1-0.3))
Period X SES
1 1.4 1.4
2 7.9 1.4
3 1.5 3.35
4 2.795
Period X SES
1 1.4 1.4
2 7.9
3 1.5
4 2.8

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