In: Economics
1. Describe the four theories/models of migration and state their strengths and limitations.
The theories are
1. Ravenstein’s Laws of Migration predicts:
i) Inverse relation between distance and volume of migration
ii) Step wise migration
iii) Every forward trend to lead to reverse trend
iv) Greater rural migration that urban and rural migration to urban
centres
v) Selective migration comprising working age population mainly due
to economic reasons
vi) Migration increases with ecnomic diversification and
improvement in transport facilities
Strength and weakness- Though i, v and vi have been proven to be
correct, other predictions like ii and iii are more difficult to
verify, and the nature pf migration in developed economies may also
not follow iv.
2. Gravity Model:
where
MIij is the volume of migration between the centres i
and j, Pi and P i are population size of the
two centres, dij is the distance between them. K is a
constant.
This model predicts that migration is not only a function of
distance (inverse) but also populaiton.
Strength and weakness- Though this model predicted the development,
lure of urban centres as migrant destinations and retail trade, it
is criticized for its generalization based on population and a
linear measure of transportation discarding the advancements of
transport facilities.
3. Stouffer’s Theory of Mobility:
where
Xo is the number of out-migrants from city 1; Y is the number of
migrants moving from city 1 to city 2, Xi is the number of
opportunities in city 2, X1 is the number of
opportunities intervening between city 1 and city 2, Xc is the
number of migrants competing for opportunities in city 2, and k is
a constant
This formulates that migration is as much a result of attraction to
other city as repulsion from one's own. It relies on the premise
that migration is proportional to the number of opportunities at
that distance and inversely proportional to the number of
intervening opportunities.
Strength and weakness- Though this model incorporates various
factors and relies on empirical estimation for the parameters, its
total discar of distance is severely criticized and is contrast to
Zipf's Inverse distance Law.
4. Lee’s Theory
This theory divides factors causing migrations into two groups of
factors: Push and pull factors. Lee theorized that its not only the
factors at origin and destination that play roles in migration
decision making but the perception of these factors is also
critical things that result in migration. The perception depends on
personal characteristics like personal sensitivities, intelligence,
and awareness in evaluating the situation of origin and destination
factors. Moreover, its not only about the comparison of the factors
but there is an inertia that acts as an obstacle. Lee developed
factors that lead to spatial mobility and proposed hypotheses on
volume, streams and counter streams of migration and
characteristics of migration.
Strength and weakness- This is considered a path breaking model due
to its formulation of the factors and explanatino of mmigration,
however, there exists criticisms that it is difficult to determine
factors at origin and destination and their perception among
people. Also, intervening obstacles make it even more difficult to
understand major influences and minor factors.