In: Economics
Consider 3 time periods (now, a bit later, a lot later).
1. Suppose that the discount rate is 25%. Calculate the discounted net present value of going to school in the “now” period.
2. Calculate the internal rate of return. Use quadratic formula.
(a)
Time period | Now ( time period 0 ) | A bit later ( time period 1 ) | A lot later ( time period 2 ) |
Cashflow | -700 | 500 | 1000 |
Present value of the cash flows | -700 | 400 | 640 |
Cashflow in the "now period" = - 100 - 600 = - 700 ( - ve sign indicates that it is a cash outflow )
Cashflow in the "a bit later period" = 500 ( + ve sign indicates that it is a cash in flow )
Cashflow in the "a later later" period = 1000 ( + ve sign indicates that it is a cash in flow )
Discounted value of cash flow in particular time period ( t = n ) is given by = ( cash flow in the period n ) / ( 1 + ( discount rate) )n
Discounted value of cash flow in "now" period ( t = 0 ) = - 700 / ( 1 + 0.25 )0 = - 700
Discounted value of cash flow in "a bit later" period ( t = 1 ) = 500 / ( 1 + 0.25 )1 = 400
Discounted value of cash flow in "a lot later period" ( t = 2 ) = 1000 / ( 1 + 0.25 )2 = 640
Discounted net present value of going to school in the “now” period = - 700 + 400 + 640 = $ 340
(b)
Internal rate of return = discount rate at which the net present value of the cashflows become zero
The NPV of going to school in the " now " period at a discount rate " r " is
- 700 / ( 1 + r )0 + 500 / ( 1 + r )1 + 1000 / ( 1 + r )2
Equating the NPV to zero, we get
- 700 / ( 1 + r )0 + 500 / ( 1 + r )1 + 1000 / ( 1 + r )2 = 0
Multiplying both sides with ( 1 + r )2 , we get
=> - 700 ( 1 + r )2 + 500 ( 1 + r ) + 1000 = 0
=> - 700 ( 1 + 2r + r2 ) + 500 + 500r + 1000 = 0
=> - 700 - 1400r - 700r2 + 500 + 500r + 1000 = 0
=> - 700r2 - 900r + 800 = 0
=> 700r2 + 900r - 800 = 0
=> 7r2 + 9r - 8 = 0 ( ax2 + bx + c ) ----- ( 1 )
Using the solution for quadratic equation formula, we get
r = - b + ( b2 - 4ac )0.5 / 2a ( and ) r = - b - ( b2 - 4ac )0.5 / 2a
Since r has to be positive, we get
r = - b + ( b2 - 4ac )0.5 / 2a
b = 9, a = 7, c - 8 ( from ( 1 ) )
Substituting these values, we get
r = ( - 9 + ( 92 - 4*7*(-8) )0.5 ) / (2*7)
=> r = ( - 9 + ( 81 + 224)0.5 ) / 14
=> r = ( 17.46 - 9 ) / 14
=> r = 0.6045 ( or ) 60.45 %
Therefore, the internal rate of return for the student will be 60.45 %