Question

In: Economics

Consider 3 time periods (now, a bit later, a lot later). The “Now” period:  If a student...

Consider 3 time periods (now, a bit later, a lot later).

  • The “Now” period:  If a student goes to school now, they will have to pay $100 for books/transportation/fees/etc.  In addition, they will not be able to work, hence the family income is reduced by $600.
  • The “a bit later” period:  If a person goes to school in the “now” period, they will earn $500 more than a person who does not go to school.
  • The “a lot later” period:  If a person goes to school in the “now” period, they will earn $1000 more than a person who does not go to school.

1. Suppose that the discount rate is 25%.  Calculate the discounted net present value of going to school in the “now” period.

2. Calculate the internal rate of return.  Use quadratic formula.

Solutions

Expert Solution

(a)

Time period Now ( time period 0 ) A bit later ( time period 1 ) A lot later ( time period 2 )
Cashflow -700   500 1000
Present value of the cash flows -700 400 640

Cashflow in the "now period" = - 100 - 600 = - 700 ( - ve sign indicates that it is a cash outflow )

Cashflow in the "a bit later period" = 500 ( + ve sign indicates that it is a cash in flow )

Cashflow in the "a later later" period = 1000 ( + ve sign indicates that it is a cash in flow )

Discounted value of cash flow in particular time period ( t = n ) is given by = ( cash flow in the period n ) / ( 1 + ( discount rate) )n

Discounted value of cash flow in "now" period ( t = 0 ) = - 700 / ( 1 + 0.25 )0 = - 700

Discounted value of cash flow in "a bit later" period ( t = 1 ) = 500 / ( 1 + 0.25 )1 = 400

Discounted value of cash flow in "a lot later period" ( t = 2 ) = 1000 / ( 1 + 0.25 )2 = 640

Discounted net present value of going to school in the “now” period = - 700 + 400 + 640 = $ 340

(b)

Internal rate of return = discount rate at which the net present value of the cashflows become zero

The NPV of going to school in the " now " period at a discount rate " r " is

- 700 / ( 1 + r )0 + 500 / ( 1 + r )1 + 1000 / ( 1 + r )2

Equating the NPV to zero, we get

- 700 / ( 1 + r )0 + 500 / ( 1 + r )1 + 1000 / ( 1 + r )2 = 0

Multiplying both sides with ( 1 + r )2 , we get

=> - 700 ( 1 + r )2 + 500 ( 1 + r ) + 1000 = 0

=> - 700 ( 1 + 2r + r2 ) + 500 + 500r + 1000 = 0

=> - 700 - 1400r - 700r2 + 500 + 500r + 1000 = 0

=> - 700r2 - 900r + 800 = 0

=> 700r2 + 900r - 800 = 0

=> 7r2 + 9r - 8 = 0 ( ax2 + bx + c ) ----- ( 1 )

Using the solution for quadratic equation formula, we get

r = - b + ( b2 - 4ac )0.5 / 2a ( and ) r = - b - ( b2 - 4ac )0.5 / 2a

Since r has to be positive, we get

r = - b + ( b2 - 4ac )0.5 / 2a

b = 9, a = 7, c - 8 ( from ( 1 ) )

Substituting these values, we get

r = ( - 9 +  ( 92 - 4*7*(-8) )0.5 ) / (2*7)

=> r = ( - 9 + ( 81 + 224)0.5 ) / 14

=> r = ( 17.46 - 9 ) / 14

=> r = 0.6045 ( or ) 60.45 %

Therefore, the internal rate of return for the student will be 60.45 %


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