In: Statistics and Probability
Let x be a random variable that represents the percentage of successful free throws a professional basketball player makes in a season. Let y be a random variable that represents the percentage of successful field goals a professional basketball player makes in a season. A random sample of n = 6 professional basketball players gave the following information.
x | 67 | 64 | 75 | 86 | 73 | 73 |
y | 44 | 41 | 48 | 51 | 44 | 51 |
(A) Find a 90% confidence interval for y when x = 80. (Round your answers to one decimal place.)
lower limit | % |
upper limit | % |
(B) Use a 5% level of significance to test the claim that
β > 0. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)
t = | |
critical t = |
C. Conclusion
A. Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that β > 0.
B. Reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that β > 0.
C. Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that β > 0.
D. Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that β > 0.
x | y | (x-xbar)^2 | (y-ybar)^2 | (x-xbar)*(y-ybar) | |
67 | 44 | 36 | 6.25 | 15 | |
64 | 41 | 81 | 30.25 | 49.5 | |
75 | 48 | 4 | 2.25 | 3 | |
86 | 51 | 169 | 20.25 | 58.5 | |
73 | 44 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | |
73 | 51 | 0 | 20.25 | 0 | |
sum | 438 | 279 | 290 | 85.5 | 126 |
mean | 73 | 46.5 | sxx | syy | sxy |
slope=b1=sxy/sxx = 0.4345
intercept=b0=ybar-(slope*xbar) = 14.7828
SST = SYY = 85.5
SSR = sxy^2/sxx = 54.7448
SSE = syy-sxy^2/sxx = 30.7552
r^2 = SSR/SST = 0.6403
error variance s^2 = SSE/(n-2) = 7.6888
S^2b1 = s^2/sxx = 0.0265
standard error b1=se(b1) = sqrt(s^2b1) = 0.1628
test statistics = b1/se(b1) = 2.6683
so, regression line is Ŷ = 14.7828 + 0.4345 *x
Predicted Y at X= 80 is
Ŷ =14.7828+0.4345*80 =
49.54
a)
90% confidence interval for y when x = 80.
std error ,Se =sqrt(SSE/(n-2) )= sqrt(7.6888)=2.7729
standard error, S(ŷ)=Se*√(1/n+(X-X̅)²/Sxx) =
2.7729*sqrt((1/6)+(80-73)^2/290) =1.6064
margin of error,E=t*Std error=t* S(ŷ) =
2.1318 * 1.6064 = 3.4246
Confidence Lower Limit=Ŷ +E =
49.54 - 3.4246
= 46.1
Confidence Upper Limit=Ŷ +E = 49.54
+ 3.4246 = 53.0
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b)
slope hypothesis test
tail= 1
Ho: ß1= 0
H1: ß1 > 0
n= 6
alpha= 0.05
estimated std error of slope =Se(ß1) = Se/√Sxx =
2.7729 /√ 290 =
0.0265
t stat = estimated slope/std error =ß1 /Se(ß1) =
0.4345/0.0265
= 2.67
t stat = 2.67
t-critical value= 2.13
[Excel function: =T.INV(α,df) ]
Degree of freedom ,df = n-2= 4
decision : TEST STAT> CRITICAL , reject Ho
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C. Conclusion :Correct option is A
A. Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that β > 0.
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