In: Finance
You estimate that the property will cost $20 million to complete (including all costs) and that you should be able to complete it within ten months if you commence construction immediately. You believe that you can obtain a construction cost guarantee that should guarantee costs will not exceed $20.5 million. You believe that you will be able to obtain a $14 million to $15 million, seven-year, 25-year amortization loan, at a fixed interest rate of 8%, and a 50 basis point fee. You believe that you can close this loan in six to eight weeks from now.
You believe that your company can access approximately $8 million in equity, assuming that you can successfully tap into appreciated equity positions in three existing properties without triggering capital gains taxes on these positions. Your company will receive a development fee of roughly 3% of project costs (this cost is included in your $20 million cost estimate).
Finally, vacancy rates in the market are approximately 4%, gross rents in the market run $7-9 psf, with operating expenses and taxes running $2-$4 psf. Negotiations are over and it is time to make a decision.
Should you agree to develop the property? Give your reasons.
Cost of Project = $ 20.5 million (max)
Development fee = 0.6 million
Hence maximum expected cost = 19.9 million
Equity infused = $ 8 million
Bank loan that is required = $ 11.9 million
Loan to be sanctioned is for 25 years amotization
Amortization amount for each year =PMT(8%,25,11.9,0,0) = $1.11 million( Excel formula for pmt)
Profit made for first 7 years = number of years * ( rent received - Amortization payment) = $ 6.23 million
Rent received after 7 years = $7-9 psf and operating expenses and taxes = $2-4 psf
Therfore assuming average rent received will be $ 5 psf
Total area = 400000 sf
Rent received per year = 5 * 400000 = $ 2 million
Rent received considering vacancy factor = 2* 0.96 = 1.92 (Given 4% vacancy rate after 7 years, hence 0.96 factor taken)
Total profit made from year 7 to 25 = 18* (1.92 - 1.11) = $ 14.58 million
Total profit = $ 14.58 million + $ 6.23 million = $ 20.81 million
Equity infused = $ 8 million
Hence net profit over 25 years = 20.81 - 8 = $ 12.8 million
Risk of completion will also be not there as project can be started initially with own equity till loan gets sanctioned
Also if GE agrees to buy property after 7 years we would be in profit.
Hence we should agree to develop property as it is profitable.