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Commerce Bank makes a $1,000,000 business term loan. All interest and principal will be paid after one year. The bank offers a 4% prime rate to its best customers. Based on the loan officer’s credit analysis, the appropriate risk premium for this business borrower is estimated to be 2%. The bank charges a 0.2% origination fee to cover costs incurred during the underwriting and some of the overhead expenses. The borrower is required to keep a 10% compensating balance according to the contract. The Federal Reserve imposes a 3% minimum reserve requirement on all banks.
Questions: 1). What is the return to the Bank on this loan?
2). If the borrower has 3% chance of defaulting and the loss given default is 40%, what is the expected return on this loan?
3) If the return is not large enough, what can this bank do to increase the return and expected return?
Loan | 1000000 | |||||||||
Risk Premium | 2% | |||||||||
Prime Rate | 4% | (Best customers) | ||||||||
Mimiumum Balance | 10% | or | 100000 | $ | ||||||
Based on the above inputs we understand that from the bank's prime customers the return expected is 4% | ||||||||||
Rprime = 4% | ||||||||||
Risk premium for this specific client is 2% , hence returning | 6.00% | |||||||||
1. Return to the bank on this loan | $ 60,000.00 | |||||||||
2. Expected Return : | ||||||||||
Chance of default | 3% | Chance of no default | 97% | |||||||
Loss given default | 40% | Interest | $ 60,000.00 | |||||||
Return | $ 4,00,000 | Principal | $ 10,00,000.00 | |||||||
$ 4,00,000 | $ 10,60,000.00 | |||||||||
Expected amount | $ 12,000 | + | $ 10,28,200.00 | (based on assigned Probabilities) | ||||||
Expected Return | $ 10,40,200.00 | |||||||||
2) Return | $ 40,200.00 | or | 4.02% | |||||||
3) if the return is not large enough the bank can do the following to recover better returns: | ||||||||||
i. Reinvesting the margin money retained of 10% from the customer in other investments yielding a higher rate of interest | ||||||||||
ii. Increasing the margin money retained to 15% from the customer to both safeguard itself, and also have a higher reinvestment opportunity |