Question

In: Statistics and Probability

A particular report classified 717 fatal bicycle accidents according to the month in which the accident...

A particular report classified 717 fatal bicycle accidents according to the month in which the accident occurred, resulting in the accompanying table.

Month Number of Accidents
January 37
February 31
March 44
April 59
May 79
June 75
July 97
August 83
September 63
October 66
November 43
December 40

(a) Use the given data to test the null hypothesis H0: p1 = 1/12, p2 = 1/12, ... , p12 = 1/12, where p1 is the proportion of fatal bicycle accidents that occur in January, p2 is the proportion for February, and so on. Use a significance level of .01. (Round your ?2 value to two decimal places, and round your P-value to three decimal places.)

?2 = 1
P-value = 2


What can you conclude?

There is sufficient evidence to reject H0. There is insufficient evidence to reject H0.    


(b) The null hypothesis in Part (a) specifies that fatal accidents were equally likely to occur in any of the 12 months. But not all months have the same number of days. What null and alternative hypotheses would you test to determine if some months are riskier than others if you wanted to take differing month lengths into account?

H0: p1 = 31/365, p2 = 28/365, ... , p12 = 31/365
Ha: All of the true category proportions differ from the hypothesized values. H0: p1 = 30/365, p2 = 30/365, ... , p12 = 30/365
Ha: At least one of the true category proportions differs from the hypothesized value.     H0: p1 = 30/365, p2 = 30/365, ... , p12 = 30/365
Ha: All of the true category proportions differ from the hypothesized values. H0: p1 = 31/365, p2 = 28/365, ... , p12 = 31/365
Ha: At least one of the true category proportions differs from the hypothesized value.


(c) Test the hypothesis proposed in Part (b) using a .05 significance level. (Round your ?2 value to two decimal places, and round your P-value to three decimal places.)

?2 = 5
P-value = 6


What can you conclude?

There is sufficient evidence to reject H0. There is insufficient evidence to reject H0.   

Solutions

Expert Solution

(a)

Following table shows the calculations for chi square test statistics:

Month Number of Accidents, O p E=p*717 (O-E)^2/E
January 37 0.083333333 59.75 8.662133891
February 31 0.083333333 59.75 13.83368201
March 44 0.083333333 59.75 4.15167364
April 59 0.083333333 59.75 0.009414226
May 79 0.083333333 59.75 6.201882845
June 75 0.083333333 59.75 3.892259414
July 97 0.083333333 59.75 23.22280335
August 83 0.083333333 59.75 9.04707113
September 63 0.083333333 59.75 0.176778243
October 66 0.083333333 59.75 0.65376569
November 43 0.083333333 59.75 4.695606695
December 40 0.083333333 59.75 6.528242678
Total 717 717 81.07531381

The test statistics is:

Degree of freedom: df=n-1=11

The p-value is: 0.000

Since p-value is less than 0.05 so we reject the null hypothesis.

There is sufficient evidence to reject H0.

(b)

H0: p1 = 31/365, p2 = 28/365, ... , p12 = 31/365

Ha: At least one of the true category proportions differs from the hypothesized value.

(c)

Following table shows the calculations for chi square test statistics:

Month Number of Accidents, O p E=p*717 (O-E)^2/E
January 37 0.084931507 60.89589041 9.376881998
February 31 0.076712329 55.00273973 10.47459667
March 44 0.084931507 60.89589041 4.687855139
April 59 0.082191781 58.93150685 7.96062E-05
May 79 0.084931507 60.89589041 5.382280837
June 75 0.082191781 58.93150685 4.381297644
July 97 0.084931507 60.89589041 21.40549585
August 83 0.084931507 60.89589041 8.023392998
September 63 0.082191781 58.93150685 0.280879234
October 66 0.084931507 60.89589041 0.427811048
November 43 0.082191781 58.93150685 4.306913637
December 40 0.084931507 60.89589041 7.170241425
Total 717 1 717 75.91772608

The test statistics is:

Degree of freedom: df=n-1=11

The p-value is: 0.000

Since p-value is less than 0.05 so we reject the null hypothesis.

There is sufficient evidence to reject H0.


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