Question

In: Statistics and Probability

A particular report included the following table classifying 819 fatal bicycle accidents that occurred in a...

A particular report included the following table classifying 819 fatal bicycle accidents that occurred in a certain year according to the time of day the accident occurred.

Time of Day Number of Accidents
midnight to 3 a.m. 47
3 a.m. to 6 a.m. 52
6 a.m. to 9 a.m. 87
9 a.m. to noon 72
noon to 3 p.m. 79
3 p.m. to 6 p.m. 157
6 p.m. to 9 p.m. 191
9 p.m. to midnight 134

For purposes of this exercise, assume that these 819 bicycle accidents are a random sample of fatal bicycle accidents. Do these data support the hypothesis that fatal bicycle accidents are not equally likely to occur in each of the 3-hour time periods used to construct the table? Test the relevant hypotheses using a significance level of

α = 0.05.

Let p1, p2, p3, p4, p5, p6, p7, and p8 be the proportions of accidents occurring in the eight different time periods.

State the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses.

H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = p4 = p5 = p6 = p7 = p8 = 0.08
Ha: H0 is not true.H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = p4 = p5 = p6 = p7 = p8 = 0.125
Ha: H0 is not true.    H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = p4 = p5 = p6 = p7 = p8 = 102.375
Ha: H0 is not true.H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = p4 = p5 = p6 = p7 = p8 = 0.8
Ha: H0 is not true.H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = p4 = p5 = p6 = p7 = p8 = 819
Ha: H0 is not true.

Find the test statistic and P-value. (Use technology. Round your test statistic to three decimal places and your P-value to four decimal places.)

X2=

P-value=

State the conclusion in the problem context.

Fail to reject H0. There is convincing evidence to conclude that fatal accidents are not equally likely to occur in each of the eight time periods.

Reject H0. There is not convincing evidence to conclude that fatal accidents are not equally likely to occur in each of the eight time periods.   

Fail to reject H0. There is not convincing evidence to conclude that fatal accidents are not equally likely to occur in each of the eight time periods.

Reject H0. There is convincing evidence to conclude that fatal accidents are not equally likely to occur in each of the eight time periods.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Given:

A particular report included the following table classifying 819 fatal bicycle accidents according to time of day the accident occurred.

Time of Day Number of Accidents
Midnight to 3 a.m. 47
3 a.m. to 6 a.m. 52
6 a.m. to 9 a.m. 87
9 a.m. to Noon 72
Noon to 3 p.m. 79
3 p.m. to 6 p.m. 157
6 p.m. to 9 p.m. 191
9 p.m. to Midnight 134

(a) Let p1, p2, p3, p4, p5, p6, p7, and p8 be the proportions of accidents occurring in the eight different time periods.

The null and alternative hypotheses is

H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = p4 = p5 = p6= p7 = p8 = 0.125
Ha: H0 is not true.

Answer - option B

b) Expected frequecy = Total frequency (n) × p

Chi-square goodness of fit test :

Proportion, P Observed frequency, O Expected frequency, E (O-E)^2/E
1/8 47 819*1/8 = 102.375 29.9525
1/8 52 102.375 24.7877
1/8 87 102.375 2.3091
1/8 72 102.375 9.0121
1/8 79 102.375 5.3371
1/8 157 102.375 29.1467
1/8 191 102.375 76.7218
1/8 134 102.375 9.7694
n = 819 187.037

Test statistics:

2 = (O-E)^2/E = 187.037

Degree of freedom, f = k-1 = 8-1 = 7

P-value:

P-value corresponding to 2 = 187.037 with df = 7 is 0.0000

P-value = 0.0000 .....(from chi square table)

Since P-value is less than significance level, = 0.05, we reject null hypothesis.

c) Conclusion:

Reject H0. There is convincing evidence to conclude that fatal accidents are not equally likely to occur in each of the eight time periods.

Answer - option D


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