In: Math
The housing market has recovered slowly from the economic crisis of 2008. Recently, in one large community, realtors randomly sampled 29 bids from potential buyers to estimate the average loss in home value. The sample showed the average loss was $9440 with a standard deviation of $2030. In 2011, the average home in this region of the country lost $8874 in value. Was the community studied by the realtors unusual? Use a t-test to decide if the average loss observed was significantly different from the regional average with 0.05 as the P-value cutoff level.
Answer: Let us construct the null and alternative hypotheses as H0: mu = 8874 vs Ha: mu not equal to 8874.
Where mu is the unknown average loss in the population of home value.
The test statistic used to test this hypothesis is T = (xbar - mu0)/(s/sqrt(n)), where xbar is the sample mean, s = sample standard deviation, mu0 is the hypothesized value of the unknown population mean and n is the sample size. sqrt refers to the square root function.
We reject H0 if |T(observed)| > t(alpha/2,(n-1)), where t(alpha/2,(n-1)) is the upper (alpha/2) point of the Student's t distribution with (n-1) degrees of freedom. Alpha is the level of significance.
Here T(observed) = 1.501479 and t(alpha/2,(n-1)) = 2.048407. Thus we see that |T(observed)| < t(alpha/2,(n-1)). Thus we fail to reject H0 and conclude on the basis of the given sample measures at a 5% level of significance that the average loss observed was not significantly different from the regional average.
[The answers are obtained using R-software. The code and output are attached below.]