In: Finance
You are considering making a movie. The movie is expected to cost $10.3 million up front and take a year to produce. After that, it is expected to make $4.6 million in the year it is released and $1.9 million for the following four years. What is the payback period of this investment? If you require a payback period of two years, will you make the movie? Does the movie have positive NPV if the cost of capital is 10.9%?
Payback Period = ( Last Year with a Negative Cash Flow ) + [( Absolute Value of negative Cash Flow in that year)/ Total Cash Flow in the following year)]
= 3 + (1.90/1.90)
= 4 Years
Hence the correct answer is 4.00 years
Note:
Year | Investment | Cash Inflow | Net Cash Flow | |
0 | -10.30 | - | -10.30 | (Investment + Cash Inflow) |
1 | - | 4.60 | -5.70 | (Net Cash Flow + Cash Inflow) |
2 | - | 1.90 | -3.80 | (Net Cash Flow + Cash Inflow) |
3 | - | 1.90 | -1.90 | (Net Cash Flow + Cash Inflow) |
4 | - | 1.90 | - | (Net Cash Flow + Cash Inflow) |
5 | - | 1.90 | 1.90 | (Net Cash Flow + Cash Inflow) |
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The correct answer is No.
This is because the actual payback period exceeds the required payback period
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NPV = Present Value of cash inflows - Present Value of cash outflows
= [ $4.6*1/(1.109) ^ 1 + 1.9*1/(1.109) ^2+*1/(1.109) ^3+*1/(1.109) ^4+*1/(1.109) ^5]- $ 10.3
= -$ 0.83 Million
= - $ 830,000
The project has a negative NPV.
The correct answer is No.