In: Statistics and Probability
Data set 2 presents a sample of the number of defective flash drives produced by a small manufacturing company over the last 30 weeks. Use Excel's Analysis ToolPak (or any statistical package that you are comfortable with) to compute the regression equation for predicting the number of defective flash drives over time (in weeks), the correlation coefficient r and the coefficient of determination R2. Submit your statistical output from Excel, which should include values for a slope, y-intercept, regression equation, r, and R2, and a one-page Word document in which you present an analysis of your results.
SUMMARY OUTPUT | Regression equation: $ Flashdrives: = 6.2989 + .0474 week | |||||||
Regression Statistics | Intercept = 6.2989 | |||||||
Multiple R | 0.30301 | Slope = 0.0474 | ||||||
R Square | 0.09181 | |||||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.05938 | |||||||
Standard Error | 1.33524 | |||||||
Observations | 30 | |||||||
ANOVA | ||||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||||
Regression | 1 | 5.046607341 | 5.046607341 | 2.830625754 | 0.103603045 | |||
Residual | 28 | 49.92005933 | 1.782859262 | |||||
Total | 29 | 54.96666667 | ||||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | |
Intercept | 6.29885 | 0.500010149 | 12.59744544 | 4.69443E-13 | 5.274626214 | 7.323074935 | 5.274626214 | 7.323074935 |
X Variable 1 | 0.04739 | 0.02816493 | 1.68244636 | 0.103603045 | -0.01030726 | 0.105079229 | -0.01030726 | 0.105079229 |
we have given ouput of the regression model :
here dependent varaible : Flashdrives
and independent variable : week
total observation is 30
## Estimated regression model :
$ Flashdrives = 6.2989 + ( 0.474 * week)
Here y intercept is = 6.2989
and slope = 0.474 ( it is positive)
interpretation for slope : from the regression model if x value increases as 1 week then flashdrives increases as 0.474 Flashdrives.
## Multiple R = 0.3030 ( it is also called correlation coefficient )
It is positive that is there is positive relationship between flashdrives and week but it is week ie (Multiple R < 0.5)
## R square = 0.09181
it is coefficient of determination value = 0.09181
that is variation explained by model is = 9.181 % which is very less and weak .
## test for overall model :
To test : Ho : overall model is not significant vs H1 : overall model is significant .
test statistics = F = ( MS regression /MS error )
= 5.0466073 / 1.782859262
= 2.8306257
p value = 0.103639
Decision : we reject Ho if p value is less than alpha value using p value approach here p value is greater than alpha value here we fail to reject Ho .
Conclusion : there is Insufficient evidence to conclude that overall model is significant .
( that is overall model is not significant )
## test for intercept :
To test : Ho : intercept is significant ( β = 0 )
vs H1 : intercept is not significant . ( β ≠ 0 )
Test statistics =
t = 12.59744544
p value = less than 0.00001
Decision : we reject Ho if p value is less than alpha value here p value is less than alpha value here we reject Ho .
Conclusion : Threre is sufficient evidence to conclude that y intercept is significant .
### Test for slope :
to test : Ho : slope is significant ( β1= 0 )
vs H1 : slope is not significant . ( β1 ≠ 0 )
test statistics =
t = 1.68244636
p value = 0.103639
Decision : we reject Ho if p value is less than alpha value here p value is greater than alpha value
here we fail to reject Ho .
Conclusion : Threre is Insufficient evidence to conclude that slope is significant .
( that is slope is not significant )