In: Finance
1. The earnings of Best Forecasting Company are expected to grow at an annual rate of 14% over the next 5 years and then slow to a constant rate of 10% per year. Best currently pays a dividend of $0.36 per share. What is the value of Best stock to an investor who requires a 16% rate of return? If stock has a market price of $15 do you buy? Please include the excel formulas.
Current Dividend per share D0=$0.36 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | ||
Future Dividend Values with 14% growth uto Yr 5 | $ 0.410 | $ 0.468 | $ 0.533 | $ 0.608 | $ 0.693 | |||
Yr 6 Dividend with 10% growth | $ 0.762 | |||||||
Termial Value of Dividends at Yr 6=0.762(1+10%)/(16%-10%) | $ 13.97 | |||||||
Using Terminal Value formula =D0(1+g)/(k-g) , where D0 =yr 6 dividend, g=growth rate 10%, k=cost of equity 16% | ||||||||
a | Total Dividends and Terminal Values receivable | $ 0.410 | $ 0.468 | $ 0.533 | $ 0.608 | $ 0.693 | $ 14.732 | |
b | PV factor at 16% required rate=1/1.16^n | 0.862 | 0.743 | 0.641 | 0.552 | 0.476 | 0.41 | |
c | PV of all future dividends and terminal value =a*b= | $ 0.354 | $ 0.348 | $ 0.342 | $ 0.336 | $ 0.330 | $ 6.040 | |
d | Current Stcok value =Sum of ( c ) all PV of dividends & TV receivable | $ 7.75 |
So the intrinsic value per share is $7.75 | |
Market Price is $15 per share | |
As the Market Price is overvalued, I shall not buy the share. |